Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Burlington, VT

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000
FNUS51 KBTV 221900
FWFBTV

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Central/Northern Vermont and
Northern New York
National Weather Service Burlington VT
300 PM EDT Mon Apr 22 2024

...Near Red Flag Conditions Expected This Afternoon and Tuesday...

.DISCUSSION...
RH values have dropped into the upper teens to lower 20 percent range
this afternoon with winds gusting as high as 25 mph at times. Decent
RH recovery is expected overnight with Max RH values rising into the 55
to 75 percent range with the least recovery expected within the Champlain
and St. Lawrence Valleys. Winds will diminish this evening and shift to
the south overnight before becoming strong and gusty again during the
daylight hours on Tuesday. Wind gusts up to 35 mph will be possible with
afternoon RH values dropping into the mid 20s for most locations. Winds
will begin to diminish Tuesday night ahead of an approaching cold front
that will bring widespread wetting rains to the region. Total rainfall
amounts of a quarter of an inch to a half of an inch are expected
Tuesday night into Wednesday which will help moisten the dry fine fuels.

VTZ030-230915-
Champlain Valley of Vermont-
Including the cities of Burlington, Shelburne, Middlebury,
Vergennes, St. Albans, Swanton, Enosburg Falls, and Bristol
300 PM EDT Mon Apr 22 2024

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           Mclear       Mclear       Mcldy        Mcldy
Chance precip (%)     0            0            90           100
Precip type           None         None         Showers      Showers
Max/Min Temp          32           64           45           46
20ftWnd AM(mph)                    S 15 G28                  SW 10 G29
20ftWnd PM(mph)       S  6         S 18 G32     S 15 G29     NW 16 G33
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.11         0.25
Precip duration                                 5            8
Precip begin                                    9 PM         Continuing
Precip end                                      Continuing   6 PM
Humidity (%)          76           26           95           48
Haines Index          5            5            4            4
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Mixing hgt                         6600                      5750
Transport wnd (mph)                S 29                      N 24
Ventilation rate                   191400                    138000
KBDI                  <=200        <=200        <=200        <=200

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ033-035-230915-
Northern Taconics-Lower Connecticut Valley North-
Including the cities of Fair Haven, Rutland, Danby, Springfield,
White River Junction, and Woodstock
300 PM EDT Mon Apr 22 2024

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           Clear        Mclear       Mcldy        Cloudy
Chance precip (%)     0            0            80           90
Precip type           None         None         Showers      Showers
Max/Min Temp          28           62           44           48
20ftWnd AM(mph)                    S  7 G20                  S  7 G17
20ftWnd PM(mph)       SW  5        S 13 G26     S 12 G26     NW 13 G31
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.03         0.17
Precip duration                                 3            9
Precip begin                                    10 PM        Continuing
Precip end                                      Continuing   6 PM
Humidity (%)          82           25           92           52
Haines Index          5            5            4            4
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Mixing hgt                         6650                      3830
Transport wnd (mph)                S 23                      N 25
Ventilation rate                   152950                    95750
KBDI                  <=200        <=200        <=200        <=200

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ034-230915-
South Central Greens-
Including the cities of Ripton, East Wallingford, Killington,
Bethel, and Ludlow
300 PM EDT Mon Apr 22 2024

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           Clear        Mclear       Mcldy        Mcldy
Chance precip (%)     0            0            80           90
Precip type           None         None         Showers      Showers
Max/Min Temp          28           60           42           45
20ftWnd AM(mph)                    SW 10 G24                 SW  9 G25
20ftWnd PM(mph)       W  6 G17     S 14 G29     S 13 G28     NW 15 G33
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.06         0.22
Precip duration                                 4            9
Precip begin                                    10 PM        Continuing
Precip end                                      Continuing   6 PM
Humidity (%)          78           26           94           52
Haines Index          5            5            4            3
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Mixing hgt                         6790                      3540
Transport wnd (mph)                S 23                      N 24
Ventilation rate                   156170                    84960
KBDI                  <=200        <=200        <=200        <=200

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ032-230915-
Central Vermont-
Including the cities of Richmond, Underhill, Johnson, Stowe,
Montpelier, Waitsfield, Starksboro, Bradford, Randolph,
and St. Johnsbury
300 PM EDT Mon Apr 22 2024

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           Clear        Mclear       Mcldy        Mcldy
Chance precip (%)     0            0            90           90
Precip type           None         None         Showers      Showers
Max/Min Temp          27           61           42           45
20ftWnd AM(mph)                    S 10 G26                  S  7 G19
20ftWnd PM(mph)       SW  5 G19    S 15 G32     S 13 G31     NW 14 G32
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.08         0.23
Precip duration                                 4            9
Precip begin                                    10 PM        Continuing
Precip end                                      Continuing   6 PM
Humidity (%)          82           25           94           49
Haines Index          5            5            4            3
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Mixing hgt                         6800                      4750
Transport wnd (mph)                S 26                      N 25
Ventilation rate                   176800                    118750
KBDI                  <=200        <=200        <=200        <=200

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ031-230915-
Northeast Kingdom-
Including the cities of Derby, Newport, Island Pond, Lunenburg,
and Hardwick
300 PM EDT Mon Apr 22 2024

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           Mclear       Mclear       Mcldy        Mcldy
Chance precip (%)     0            0            90           100
Precip type           None         None         Showers      Snow/Rain
Max/Min Temp          25           60           41           43
20ftWnd AM(mph)                    S 11 G24                  S  7 G18
20ftWnd PM(mph)       SW  6 G20    S 15 G28     S 13 G27     NW 13 G28
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.10         0.25
Precip duration                                 4            9
Precip begin                                    10 PM        Continuing
Precip end                                      Continuing   6 PM
Humidity (%)          81           24           95           48
Haines Index          4            5            4            3
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Mixing hgt                         6920                      5120
Transport wnd (mph)                S 28                      NW 25
Ventilation rate                   193760                    128000
KBDI                  <=200        <=200        <=200        <=200

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ205-230915-
Champlain Valley of New York-
Including the cities of Champlain, Plattsburgh, Port Henry,
Ticonderoga, and Schroon Lake
300 PM EDT Mon Apr 22 2024

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Chance precip (%)     0            0            90           100
Precip type           None         None         Showers      Showers
Max/Min Temp          31           64           44           45
20ftWnd AM(mph)                    S 13 G29                  SW  9 G29
20ftWnd PM(mph)       SW  8 G20    S 17 G32     S 13 G31     NW 15 G29
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.09         0.20
Precip duration                                 5            8
Precip begin                                    8 PM         Continuing
Precip end                                      Continuing   6 PM
Humidity (%)          77           27           99           46
Haines Index          5            5            4            4
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Mixing hgt                         8010                      5960
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 29                     N 23
Ventilation rate                   232290                    137080
KBDI                  <=200        <=200        <=200        <=200

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ204-230915-
Adirondack High Peaks-
Including the cities of Lake Placid, Keene, Mount Van Hoevenberg,
Newcomb, and Wilmington
300 PM EDT Mon Apr 22 2024

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Chance precip (%)     0            0            90           90
Precip type           None         None         Showers      Showers
Max/Min Temp          26           60           42           43
20ftWnd AM(mph)                    SW 13 G32                 W  9 G25
20ftWnd PM(mph)       W  9 G24     S 18 G36     SW 15 G35    NW 14 G33
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.15         0.20
Precip duration                                 6            8
Precip begin                                    8 PM         Continuing
Precip end                                      Continuing   6 PM
Humidity (%)          91           28           99           52
Haines Index          5            4            4            3
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Mixing hgt                         7090                      4700
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 30                     N 22
Ventilation rate                   212700                    103400
KBDI                  <=200        <=200        <=200        <=200

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ203-230915-
Northern Adirondacks-
Including the cities of Star Lake, Tupper Lake, Pauls Smiths,
and Wanakena
300 PM EDT Mon Apr 22 2024

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Cloudy       Mcldy
Chance precip (%)     0            0            100          100
Precip type           None         None         Showers      Snow/Rain
Max/Min Temp          29           62           39           41
20ftWnd AM(mph)                    S 14 G28                  W 10 G23
20ftWnd PM(mph)       SW  9 G18    SW 18 G33    SW 12 G28    NW 12 G26
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.24         0.22
Precip duration                                 8            7
Precip begin                                    6 PM         Continuing
Precip end                                      Continuing   5 PM
Humidity (%)          90           28           100          47
Haines Index          4            4            4            3
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Mixing hgt                         7810                      5590
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 32                     N 20
Ventilation rate                   249920                    111800
KBDI                  <=200        <=200        <=200        <=200

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ202-230915-
St. Lawrence-
Including the cities of Massena, Norfolk, Fort Covington, Malone,
Ogdensburg, Potsdam, Brasher Falls, and Gouverneur
300 PM EDT Mon Apr 22 2024

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Cloudy       Mcldy
Chance precip (%)     0            0            100          100
Precip type           None         None         Showers      Snow/Rain
Max/Min Temp          37           64           37           43
20ftWnd AM(mph)                    S 15 G29                  NW 11 G25
20ftWnd PM(mph)       SW 10 G19    SW 18 G37    SW 13 G28    NW 13 G26
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.29         0.18
Precip duration                                 8            7
Precip begin                                    6 PM         Continuing
Precip end                                      Continuing   4 PM
Humidity (%)          72           29           100          38
Haines Index          5            5            3            5
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Mixing hgt                         8150                      6060
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 33                     N 20
Ventilation rate                   268950                    121200
KBDI                  <=200        <=200        <=200        <=200

Remarks...None.

$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Northwest
winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 40s. Northwest winds around
5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 30. West winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Southeast
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Breezy. Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. South
winds 20 to 25 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Breezy. Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows
in the upper 40s. South winds 20 to 25 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the mid
60s. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 40s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid
60s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation below normal.

$$


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