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000
FNUS71 KCTP 220755
FWSCTP

Spot Forecast for SGL 143...PA Game Commission
National Weather Service State College PA
355 AM EDT Mon Apr 22 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 EDT on April 22.

If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast, contact the National Weather Service
in State College.


.DISCUSSION...
Chilly start today with widespread frost, then mostly sunny and
warmer with minRH forecast around 25% this afternoon.


.TODAY...

Sky/Weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent). Widespread frost early in
                    the morning.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max Temperature.....Around 58.
Min Humidity........24 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northwest 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing Height.......7000 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 mph shifting to the west 15
                    to 20 mph late in the morning.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................6 early in the morning increasing to 58 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)...........  1   2   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   4   4
Weather Cov.......  WID WID WID
Weather Type......  FST FST FST
Tstm Cov..........
LAL...............  1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp..............  28  29  33  38  43  49  52  55  56  57  57  58
RH................  88  88  75  59  47  36  31  26  24  24  27  27
20 FT Wind Dir....  W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W
20 FT Wind Spd....  3   2   3   4   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT Wind Gust...  4   4   4   6   8   12  13  13  12  11  11  10
Mix Hgt (kft).....  0.4 0.4 0.7 1.6 3.0 5.1 5.8 6.4 6.7 6.9 7.0 6.7
Transp Wind Dir...  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp Wind Spd...  8   7   6   10  13  16  17  17  15  15  15  15
LVORI.............  5   5   4   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI...............  6   6   6   50  50  50  58  58  58  52  52  52
Haines Index......  4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent).
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min Temperature.....Around 37.
Max Humidity........73 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 5 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light, then becoming south 5 to 10 mph
                    overnight.
Mixing Height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....West 5 to 15 mph shifting to the south 10 to 15
                    mph in the late evening and overnight.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................5 to 12.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%)...........  4   3   3   10  18  25  33  40  48  50  53  55
Weather Cov.......
Weather Type......
Tstm Cov..........
LAL...............  1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp..............  56  54  48  45  43  41  40  39  39  39  38  37
RH................  30  34  46  53  60  65  67  70  70  70  73  72
20 FT Wind Dir....  W   W   W   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT Wind Spd....  5   4   4   3   3   4   4   5   6   6   6   6
20 FT Wind Gust...  8   6       4   4   5   6   7   7   8   10  10
Mix Hgt (kft).....  5.8 1.5 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp Wind Dir...  W   W   W   SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp Wind Spd...  15  8   6   6   8   10  10  12  14  14  13  14
LVORI.............  2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
ADI...............  7   7   7   5   5   5   9   9   9   12  12  12
Haines Index......  4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3   3

.TUESDAY...

Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
                    light rain late in the afternoon.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max Temperature.....Around 63.
Min Humidity........38 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 30 mph
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing Height.......5200 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph increasing to 25 to 30
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................22 early in the morning increasing to 97 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)...........  58  60  62  67  71  75  79  83  87  89  91  93
Weather Cov.......                                      SCH CHC CHC
Weather Type......                                      RN  RN  RN
Tstm Cov..........
LAL...............  1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp..............  38  39  42  46  51  57  58  60  62  61  60  59
RH................  70  70  65  60  52  43  42  41  38  41  44  47
20 FT Wind Dir....  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT Wind Spd....  7   8   9   11  12  13  14  14  14  13  12  11
20 FT Wind Gust...  10  12  14  18  19  21  22  22  22  21  20  18
Mix Hgt (kft).....  0.5 0.6 1.0 1.9 3.4 4.3 4.6 4.9 5.2 4.5 3.8 3.1
Transp Wind Dir...  S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp Wind Spd...  13  15  17  24  29  32  32  31  31  29  28  25
LVORI.............  3   3   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI...............  22  22  22  93  93  93  97  97  97  85  85  85
Haines Index......  3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

$$
Forecaster...Steinbugl
Requested by...SHAWN PERKINS
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2411615.0/CTP
.DELDT 04/22/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL shperkins@pa.gov