Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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FNUS53 KGRR 051809
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
209 PM EDT Sun May 5 2024

...Partly Cloudy...

.DISCUSSION...High pressure will settle over the state tonight and
provide clear to partly cloudy skies, light winds and tempeatures in the
30s and 40s. The next chance of rain arrives Tuesday as a warm front moves
north into the state. Showers and thunderstorms are possible Tuesday.


MIZ037>039-043>045-060815-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
209 PM EDT Sun May 5 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min temperature.....35-40.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........87-92 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 6 mph shifting to the
                    east overnight.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......0-400 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 1800-2300
                    ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph shifting to the east
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....40-220 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max temperature.....68-73.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........39-44 percent near Lake Michigan and 31-36
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......4 percent drier near Lake Michigan and 1
                    percent wetter Inland.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3800-4300 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    5800-6300 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....520-590 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min temperature.....41-46.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........72-77 percent.
   24 hr trend......16 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......100-600 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 1200-1700
                    ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-120 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 2 PM, then rain showers and a
                    chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Max temperature.....65-70.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........43-48 percent.
   24 hr trend......17 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 13 to 18 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3100-3600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....650-760 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.27-0.53 in.


$$

MIZ040-046-060815-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
209 PM EDT Sun May 5 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Min temperature.....36-41.
   24 hr trend......14 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........87-92 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 6 mph shifting to the
                    east around 5 mph overnight.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1900-2400 ft AGL decreasing to 0-400 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph shifting to the east
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....30-260 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 69.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........31-36 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5500-6000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....430-500 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 43.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........74-79 percent.
   24 hr trend......15 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......700-1200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....50-100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent) until 11 AM, then
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 2 PM, then rain showers and a
                    chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 68.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........42-47 percent.
   24 hr trend......16 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3400-3900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....550-780 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.27-0.44 in.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-060815-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
209 PM EDT Sun May 5 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 5 AM, then
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
Min temperature.....45-50.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........84-89 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    east around 6 mph overnight.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......900-1400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph shifting to the east
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....50-130 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....69-74.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........35-40 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5200-5700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....650-780 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent).
Min temperature.....48-53.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........69-74 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1100-1600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-110 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Rain showers.
                    Chance of thunderstorms after 11 AM.
Chance of pcpn......near 100 percent.
Max temperature.....68-73.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........55-60 percent.
   24 hr trend......23 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 12 to 17 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2600-3100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....560-640 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.39-0.54 in.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-060815-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
209 PM EDT Sun May 5 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent).
Min temperature.....45-50.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........81-86 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......North winds around 6 mph shifting to the east
                    around 7 mph overnight.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2000-2500 ft AGL decreasing to 0-500 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph shifting to the east
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....50-90 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent) until 11 AM, then
                    sunny (10-20 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 71.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........28-33 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5100-5600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....560-650 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min temperature.....44-49.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Max humidity........73-78 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1200-1700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....60 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 2 PM, then rain showers and a
                    chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 69.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........43-48 percent.
   24 hr trend......24 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 12 to 17 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3700-4200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....580-820 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.26-0.54 in.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-060815-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
209 PM EDT Sun May 5 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 5 AM, then
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
Min temperature.....45-50.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........84-89 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1000-1500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph shifting to the east
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....50-90 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent) until 2 PM, then
                    sunny (5-15 percent).
Max temperature.....67-72.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........32-37 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4800-5300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....590-670 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Min temperature.....45-50.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Max humidity........72-77 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......900-1400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....70 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 2 PM. Chance of thunderstorms
                    after 11 AM. Rain showers after 2 PM.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 71.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........53-58 percent.
   24 hr trend......23 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 11 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3400-3900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....600-700 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.28-0.42 in.


$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms
in the evening. Lows in the lower 50s. Southwest winds 6 to 11 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. West winds 9 to
14 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
lower 50s. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Cooler. Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in
the lower 60s. North winds 13 to 18 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers in the evening.
Lows in the mid 40s. North winds 11 to 16 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the lower
60s. Northwest winds 11 to 16 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 60s.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid
60s.

$$