Spot Forecast Issued by NWS Portland, ME
000
FNUS71 KGYX 171030
FWSGYX
Spot Forecast for Fuller Farm RX...Maine Forest Service
National Weather Service Gray ME
630 AM EDT Wed Apr 17 2024
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on April 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
Please contact our office at (207) 688-3224, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.
.DISCUSSION...Winds will be from the northwest at 5 to 10 MPH this morning,
then go light and westerly late morning. Thereafter a seabreeze is
expected to turn winds southerly starting around 2 PM. RH values
will dip to the upper 20s to lower 30s. Please call the office this morning
if you have more specific questions related to the smoke plume. As of this
writing it is difficult to say whether or not it will make it to I-95 or
Route 1 based on the northwesterly component to the winds and the light
character.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 55.
Min humidity........29 percent.
Dewpoint............26.
Max apparent temp...55.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 5 to 7 mph late in the morning
becoming light, then becoming south 5 to 8 mph
in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......4600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 6 to 15 mph shifting to the west 3 to
5 mph late in the afternoon, then shifting to
the southwest around 3 mph late in the
afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (9800 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to good (40800 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................49 decreasing to 29 late in the afternoon.
Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........12 12 12 18 18 18 18 18 18
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............42 47 51 52 54 55 54 53 53
Dewpoint........27 26 25 24 24 24 25 26 28
RH..............60 43 36 33 31 30 32 34 37
Aparnt tmp (F)..40 44 47 52 54 55 55 55 53
20 FT wind dir..N NW W W SE SE S S S
20 FT wind spd..7 6 5 1 1 7 8 8 8
20 FT wind gust.10 10 12 7 9 13 14 14 13
Mix hgt (kft)...2.8 3.4 4.1 4.3 4.5 4.6 4.2 3.7 3.3
Transp wind dir.N NW NW NW NW NW W SW SW
Transp wind spd.15 14 12 9 8 6 5 3 3
LVORI...........1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2
ADI.............45 46 47 50 51 53 31 29 27
Haines index....2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
Vrate kt-ft/1K..37 41 41 36 29 23 16 11 10
Ventrate Cat....PR FR FR PR PR PR PR PR PR
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (50-60 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 33.
Max humidity........85 percent.
Dewpoint............29.
Min apparent temp...32.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 6 to 7 mph early in the evening
becoming light.
Mixing height.......100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 3 to 8 mph shifting to the north 1 to
2 mph overnight, then shifting to the northeast
2 to 3 mph after 3 am.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (100 knot-ft).
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................7.
Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........41 41 41 41 41 41 56 56 56 56 56 56
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO NO
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............50 49 46 42 41 40 38 37 36 36 35 35
Dewpoint........28 29 30 30 30 30 30 30 29 29 29 29
RH..............43 46 53 62 65 67 73 75 75 75 78 78
Aparnt tmp (F)..47 45 41 42 39 40 38 37 36 36 32 32
20 FT wind dir..S S S S S W NE E NE NE NE NE
20 FT wind spd..7 6 5 2 3 2 2 2 2 2 3 3
20 FT wind gust.12 12 9 9 9 7 6 6 7 8 12 12
Mix hgt (kft)...2.3 1.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.SW S S S S SW W NW N N NE NE
Transp wind spd.5 7 8 8 6 5 3 2 1 1 2 3
LVORI...........2 2 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4
ADI.............11 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 5
Haines index....3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
Vrate kt-ft/1K..10 8 2 2 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
$$
Forecaster...EKSTER
Requested by...Erik c Ahlquist
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2411110.0/GYX
.DELDT 04/17/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL erik.c.ahlquist@maine.gov