Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL
044
FNUS74 KMOB 301921
FWSMOB
Spot Forecast for GUIS Naval Live Oaks...National Park Service
National Weather Service Mobile AL
Issued by National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
221 PM CDT Tue Apr 30 2024
Forecast is based on ignition time of 1400 CDT on April 30.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
...LOW DISPERSION INDEX AROUND 20-25 EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON OVER
THE BURN AREA...
.DISCUSSION...
Transport winds 10-15mph out of the south will continue at the
burn site following the passage of the storms with mixing heights
1600-2000ft yielding poor dispersions. Tomorrow, transport winds
will clock to southerly once again in the afternoon around 5-15mph
with mixing heights around 1500-2000ft, yielding poor dispersions
once again.
Fog potential and other remarks...Widespread patchy fog with
locally dense fog appears likely tomorrow morning.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Chance of showers
and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
LAL.................2.
Max temperature.....Around 77.
Min humidity........82 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 10 to 12 mph. Gusty and erratic
winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......1300 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...366-396 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 12 to 13 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 5 to 6 meters/second.
Dispersion index....26.
LVORI...............3.
Stability class.....3.
TIME (CDT) 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........48 39 30 30
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).30 30 30 30
LAL.............2 2 2 2
Temp............76 77 76 76
RH..............85 82 85 85
20 FT wind dir..S S S S
20 FT wind spd..13 13 13 12
20 FT wind gust.17 17 16 15
Mix hgt (kft)...1.3 1.2 1.2 1.2
Mix hgt (km)....0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.S S S S
Transp wind spd.13 13 13 12
Trans wind dir..S S S S
Trans spd (m/s).6 6 6 5
Dispersion idx..27 26 25 25
LVORI...........3 3 3 3
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Chance of
showers and slight chance of thunderstorms
early in the evening. Areas of fog overnight.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
LAL.................2 until 1900, then 1.
Min temperature.....Around 70.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 8 mph in the evening
becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms early in the
evening.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...152-366 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 12 mph shifting to the northwest 3
to 5 mph after 3 am.
Transport winds m/s.South around 5 meters/second decreasing to 2 to
4 meters/second in the evening and overnight,
then shifting to the northwest 1 to 2
meters/second after 3 am.
Dispersion index....25 decreasing to 4.
LVORI...............6.
Stability class.....4.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........31 32 32 32 32 31 30 29 30 32 33 35
Weather cov.....CHC ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS
Weather type....RW FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG
Tstm cov........SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).30 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............75 75 74 74 74 72 72 72 72 71 70 71
RH..............84 84 87 90 90 97 93 93 93 93 97 93
20 FT wind dir..SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW WSW W WNW NW
20 FT wind spd..9 8 7 6 6 5 5 3 3 3 3 3
20 FT wind gust.14 12 10 9 8 7 7 7 6 6 5 5
Mix hgt (kft)...1.2 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Mix hgt (km)....0.4 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
Transp wind dir.S S S S S S S SSW SSW SW WNW NW
Transp wind spd.12 10 9 8 7 7 6 5 5 5 5 3
Trans wind dir..S S S S S S S SSW SSW SW WNW NW
Trans spd (m/s).5 4 4 4 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 1
Dispersion idx..25 5 4 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2
LVORI...........3 5 5 6 6 7 7 7 8 8 8 8
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Areas of fog
early in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 79.
Min humidity........76 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east around 5 mph late in
the morning, then shifting to the south in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......1100 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...152-335 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 5 mph shifting to the east around
6 mph late in the morning, then shifting to the
south 8 to 12 mph in the afternoon.
Transport winds m/s.North around 2 meters/second shifting to the
northeast 2 to 3 meters/second in the morning,
then shifting to the southeast 3 to 4
meters/second late in the morning shifting to
the south 4 to 5 meters/second in the
afternoon.
Dispersion index....6 increasing to 22.
LVORI...............6.
Stability class.....2.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........37 57 57 57 57 57 57 57 14 22 8 4
Weather cov.....ARS ARS
Weather type....FOG FOG
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............70 70 71 72 74 75 76 77 77 77 78 77
RH..............93 97 93 90 84 82 79 76 76 79 76 76
20 FT wind dir..N N NNE NE ENE E SSE S S S S SSW
20 FT wind spd..3 2 2 5 6 6 8 10 10 10 12 10
20 FT wind gust.5 3 5 6 8 8 10 13 13 13 12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.7 0.8 1.1 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9
Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir.N N NNE NNE NE E SE S S S S S
Transp wind spd.5 5 5 5 6 6 8 9 12 10 12 12
Trans wind dir..N N NNE NNE NE E SE S S S S S
Trans spd (m/s).2 2 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 4 5 5
Dispersion idx..2 4 4 6 9 13 15 18 21 23 21 21
LVORI...........9 8 7 6 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3
$$
Forecaster...TAE
Requested by...Robert Vick
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412531.10/MOB
.DELDT 04/30/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL scworthi@gmail.com,Robert_Vick@nps.gov