Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 191908
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
308 PM EDT Thu Apr 19 2018

.DISCUSSION...
A dry cold front will move off the coast this evening. Chilly
temperatures are expected tonight through Sunday as Canadian
high pressure builds into the Eastern U.S. Critically low
relative humidity values are expected Friday and Saturday, but
wind speeds will be light. Low pressure will move slowly across
the area Monday through Wednesday next week, bringing rain back
to the Carolinas.

Fog potential for tonight...None

NCZ105>110-201115-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
308 PM EDT Thu Apr 19 2018

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud amount          Clear        Clear        Clear        Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          39           64           38           65
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NW 11 G23    N  8         NE  3        NE  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     N  8 G23     N  7         NE  3        E  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             None         None         2000         49/0900
Dispersion            Good                      Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        71           25           86           31
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          3            4            5            5
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5130                      5700
Transport wnd (mph)                N  7                      NE  5
Ventilation rate                   35910                     28500
ADI early             77 Good      61 Good      19 Gen poor  31 Fair
ADI late              19 Gen poor  41 Gen good  2 Very poor  31 Fair
Max LVORI early       2            3            3            5
Max LVORI late        3            2            5            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
93 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
39 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain. Lows
around 50. Maximum RH 88 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the upper 60s. Minimum RH 59 percent. East winds 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with rain likely. Lows in the mid 50s.
Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of rain 60 percent. East winds 15 to
20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Highs around 70.
Minimum RH 68 percent. East winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Highs
around 70. Minimum RH 67 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 92 percent. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
47 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-201115-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
308 PM EDT Thu Apr 19 2018

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud amount          Clear        Clear        Clear        Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          39           66           38           67
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N 11 G25     N  7         NE  3        NE  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     N  7         N  6         LGT/VAR      NE  4
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             None         None         2000         48/0900
Dispersion            Good                      Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        71           23           81           29
DSI                                2                         3
Haines Index          4            4            5            5
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5290                      5620
Transport wnd (mph)                N  8                      E  5
Ventilation rate                   42320                     28100
ADI early             79 Good      57 Gen good  27 Fair      31 Fair
ADI late              18 Gen poor  42 Gen good  2 Very poor  29 Fair
Max LVORI early       2            3            3            4
Max LVORI late        3            1            4            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
91 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
32 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain. Lows
around 50. Maximum RH 85 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the upper 60s. Minimum RH 51 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with rain likely. Lows in the mid 50s.
Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of rain 60 percent. East winds 10 to
15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Highs around 70.
Minimum RH 63 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Northeast winds 10 to
15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain. Highs
around 70. Minimum RH 62 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 93 percent. Northwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
40 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-059-201115-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach,
Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet,
Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor
308 PM EDT Thu Apr 19 2018

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud amount          Clear        Clear        Clear        Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          41           66           40           67
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    NW 11 G23    N  8         NE  4        NE  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     N  9 G21     NE  7        NE  4        E  6
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             None         None         2000         51/0900
Dispersion            Excellent                 Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        68           26           84           31
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          3            4            4            5
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                4970                      5530
Transport wnd (mph)                N  6                      E  8
Ventilation rate                   29820                     44240
ADI early             79 Good      56 Gen good  19 Gen poor  39 Fair
ADI late              19 Gen poor  39 Fair      2 Very poor  41 Gen good
Max LVORI early       2            3            3            5
Max LVORI late        2            2            5            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
94 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
43 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain. Lows
in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 94 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the upper 60s. Minimum RH 65 percent. East winds 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with rain likely. Lows in the mid 50s.
Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of rain 70 percent. East winds 15 to
20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Highs
around 70. Minimum RH 69 percent. Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. East winds 15 to
20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of rain. Highs
around 70. Minimum RH 67 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Northwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
50 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-201115-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
308 PM EDT Thu Apr 19 2018

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud amount          Clear        Clear        Clear        Clear
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          40           67           39           71
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    N 11 G24     N  8         NE  3        NE  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     N  8 G20     N  7         LGT/VAR      E  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             None         None         2000         49/0900
Dispersion            Good                      Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        72           22           81           28
DSI                                2                         3
Haines Index          3            4            5            5
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5320                      5690
Transport wnd (mph)                N  8                      E  6
Ventilation rate                   42560                     34140
ADI early             77 Good      52 Gen good  24 Fair      40 Fair
ADI late              17 Gen poor  39 Fair      2 Very poor  42 Gen good
Max LVORI early       2            3            3            4
Max LVORI late        3            1            4            2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH
90 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 70. Minimum RH 35 percent. East
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain. Lows
in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 89 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the upper 60s. Minimum RH 55 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with rain likely. Lows in the mid 50s.
Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of rain 60 percent. East winds 10 to
15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the upper 60s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 99 percent. East winds 10 to
15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the lower 70s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Northwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
42 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation below normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

III



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