Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Bismarck, ND

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FNUS73 KBIS 271703
FWSBIS

Spot Forecast for Headquarter Natives...USFWS
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
1203 PM CDT Sun May 27 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1400 CDT on May 27.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Expect dry conditions at 1400 CDT with a mix of sun and clouds.
A cold front will be pushing through, as winds shift from east to northeast,
and then northerly. Northerly winds of between 10 and 18 mph can be anticipated
this afternoon. A minimum relative humidity of 40 percent is forecast.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 83.
Min humidity........40 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast to northerly winds 12 to 18 mph.
Mixing height.......5600-6000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 13 to 18 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (61100 knot-ft).
Haines Index........3 to 4 OR (very low) to (low).

TIME (CDT)      2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........74  71  70  69
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10
Temp............82  83  83  83
RH..............43  42  41  41
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..9   11  12  12
20 FT wind gust.16  18  18  15
Mix hgt (kft)...5.6 5.8 6.0 5.8
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.13  15  16  18
Haines index....4   3   3   3
SDspl kt-ft/100061  76  84  92

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 57.
Max humidity........75 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......3600-5500 ft AGL decreasing to 500-2200 ft AGL
                    in the late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....Northeast 14 to 23 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (67600 knot-ft) decreasing to poor to
                    good (6900-41600 knot-ft) in the late evening
                    and overnight.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........68  67  66  61  56  52  47  42  46  50  55  58
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Temp............83  81  78  74  70  68  67  65  63  61  59  58
RH..............40  41  44  48  52  57  59  63  66  69  71  74
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NE
20 FT wind spd..12  12  11  10  9   8   8   7   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.15  14  14  14  12  11  10  10  9   8   7   7
Mix hgt (kft)...5.5 4.8 3.6 2.2 1.1 1.0 0.7 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.5
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
Transp wind spd.20  21  22  22  23  21  18  18  17  14  14  15
Haines index....3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
SDspl kt-ft/100094  86  68  42  22  18  12  14  13  9   9   7

.MEMORIAL DAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 79.
Min humidity........31 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 11 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......500-2200 ft AGL increasing to 3200-4500 ft AGL
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....East 15 to 21 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good (7000-37600 knot-ft) increasing to
                    good to excellent (57200-71700 knot-ft) in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........3 to 4 OR (very low) to (low).

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........60        54        61        59
Weather cov.....                              S CHC
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                              S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).10        10        10        20
Temp............57        67        77        78
RH..............75        52        35        32
20 FT wind......NE 6G8    E 9G11    E 11G14   E 10G13
Mix hgt (ft)....500       2200      4200      4200
Transport wind..NE 15     E 20      E 18      E 18
Haines index....3         3         3         4
SDspl kt-ft/10007         38        69        67

$$
Forecaster...SIMOSKO
Requested by...Dominick Marsden
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1810704.0/BIS
.DELDT 05/27/18
.EMAIL dominic_marsden@fws.gov



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