Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Duluth, MN

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000
FNUS73 KDLH 200021
FWSDLH

Spot Forecast for Trumpet RX...USFS
National Weather Service Duluth MN
721 PM CDT Sat May 19 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 2000 CDT on May 19.
If there are questions or concerns with this forecast...
please call the National Weather Service.

.DISCUSSION...

High pressure will settle over the area tonight and cause the wind
to become light. As the center of the high passes to the south of
the burn, the wind will become west to northwest during the day
Sunday and it does appear the burn should be just far enough
inland to be out of an expected lake breeze which will have winds
more southerly. The wind won`t be strong on Sunday but deep
mixing is expected to develop which will lead to gusty winds
during the afternoon. Monday is also expected to be dry but the
wind will be southerly.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....Around 30.
Max humidity........92 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds around 5 mph early in the
evening becoming light.
Mixing height.......3100 ft AGL decreasing to 300 ft AGL in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....West 4 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (43500 knot-ft) decreasing to poor (1900 knot-ft)
                    in the late evening and overnight.

TIME (CDT)      8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......MCR MCR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............48  44  39  37  35  33  32  31  30  30
RH..............53  61  70  75  78  85  85  88  88  92
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  W
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
20 FT wind gust.13  9   6   5   4   4   4   4   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...3.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  W
Transp wind spd.15  10  5   5   5   0   0   0   0   0
SDspl kt-ft/100044  2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 70.
Min humidity........20 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west around 5 mph early in
                    the morning.
Mixing height.......1800 ft AGL increasing to 8400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1000-12500 knot-ft) increasing to good to
                    excellent (58700-71500 knot-ft).

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky cover.......CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............32     43     59     65     68     70
RH..............88     60     33     24     20     20
20 ft wind......W 0    W 5    W 5    W 5    W 5    W 5
20 ft wind gust.5      6      8      11     13     14
Mix hgt (ft)....300    1800   4900   6100   7200   8400
Transport wind..W 5    W 10   NW 15  NW 15  NW 10  NW 10
SDspl kt-ft/10001      13     63     72     69     68

.SUNDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear.
Min temperature.....Around 38.
Max humidity........76 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 5 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......6500 ft AGL decreasing to 300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (50700 knot-ft) decreasing to poor (1000
                    knot-ft).

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky cover.......CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............68     58     46     42     41     39
RH..............24     39     53     65     70     76
20 ft wind......W 5    W 5    W 0    W 0    W 0    NW 0
20 ft wind gust.              3      3      3      3
Mix hgt (ft)....6500   3800   300    300    300    300
Transport wind..NW 10  W 5    W 5    W 5    W 5    NW 5
SDspl kt-ft/100051     24     1      1      1      1

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 71.
Min humidity........23 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south around 5 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL increasing to 2400 ft AGL early in
                    the morning, then increasing to 4600 ft AGL
                    late in the morning increasing to 7600 ft AGL
                    in the late morning and afternoon decreasing to
                    5100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 0 mph shifting to the west early
                    in the morning, then shifting to the south 10
                    to 15 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (400-11500 knot-ft) increasing to
                    excellent (69100-98100 knot-ft).

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky cover.......CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............39     50     67     71     70     69
RH..............73     56     29     25     24     24
20 ft wind......NW 0   W 0    S 5    S 5    S 5    S 5
20 ft wind gust.2      3             7      8      8
Mix hgt (ft)....300    2400   6800   7300   7100   6100
Transport wind..NW 0   W 5    S 15   S 15   S 15   S 15
SDspl kt-ft/10000      12     79     95     94     83

$$
Forecaster...Dean M
Requested by...Michael McDaniel
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1810325.0/DLH
.EMAIL michaelmcdaniel@fs.fed.us


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