Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS New Orleans/Baton Rouge, LA

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025
FNUS74 KLIX 091712
FWSLIX

Spot Forecast for O-05 S...USFWS
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
1212 PM CDT Thu May 9 2024

If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

We can be reached at (985) 649-0357 if you have questions or concerns
with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Persistent south winds of 10 to 15 mph will be in place this afternoon
and humidity will remain very high at 65 to 70 percent.  The southerly
winds will weaken slightly to slightly below 10 mph this evening, and
a shift to a more south-southwest direction is expected in advance of
an approaching cold front.  A band of showers and thunderstorms may
impact the burn site between 3 am and 7 am with lower rain chances
after 7 am.  Dry weather and a shift in winds to the north-northwest
is expected by mid-day tomorrow in the wake of the front.  Minimum
humidity will be lower tomorrow at between 45 and 50 percent.

1. Winds are expected to be fairly consistent at 180 to 210 degrees
throughout the afternoon and early evening hours.

2. A southeast component is not expected this afternoon.
Winds will gradually turn more and more southwesterly and then
west-southwesterly as a cold front approaches through the overnight
hours.

3. No changes to the expected arrival time of the front.  Rain will be
most likely between 3 am and 7 am.  North winds will take hold between
9 am and 11 am.

4. No other changes to the forecast since this morning.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 89.
Min humidity........68 percent.
Dewpoint............75.
Max apparent temp...99.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 8 to 9 mph.
Mixing height (m)...671-853 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 15 to 17 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 7 to 8 meters/second.
LVORI...............3.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.

TIME (CDT)      12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........57  57  57  36  28  57
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  10
Temp............86  87  87  88  87  86
Dewpoint........75  75  76  76  76  76
RH..............70  68  70  68  70  72
Aparnt tmp (F)..95  96  98  99  98  96
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..9   10  12  12  12  12
20 FT wind gust.15  16  17  17  17  17
Mix hgt (km)....0.7 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.7 0.7
Transp wind dir.SW  SSW SSW SSW S   S
Transp wind spd.17  16  16  16  15  15
Trans wind dir..SW  SSW SSW SSW S   S
Trans spd (m/s).8   7   7   7   7   7
LVORI...........3   3   3   3   3   3

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms after 3 am.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 71.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Dewpoint............74.
Max apparent temp...96.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 9 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height (m)...152-671 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Southwest 4 to 7 meters/second.
LVORI...............5.
Rainfall amount.....0.08 inches.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........57  53  59  62  68  72  77  85  79  84  80  78
Weather cov.....                                SCH CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....                                RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                                SCH CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  20  30  40  40
Temp............86  82  80  79  79  78  78  77  76  76  74  73
Dewpoint........76  76  76  76  76  76  75  75  74  74  73  72
RH..............72  82  88  91  91  94  91  94  94  94  97  97
Aparnt tmp (F)..96  89  86  79  79  78  78  77  76  76  74  73
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SW  S
20 FT wind spd..12  9   9   8   8   9   8   8   7   7   6   6
20 FT wind gust.17  14  14  13  13  14  13  13  10  10  9   9
Mix hgt (km)....0.7 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.15  15  15  15  14  14  14  14  14  14  10  10
Trans wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Trans spd (m/s).7   7   7   7   6   6   6   6   6   6   4   4
LVORI...........3   4   4   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   7   7

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent) then becoming
                    sunny (5-15 percent). Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 89.
Min humidity........48 percent.
Dewpoint............71 decreasing to 67 late in the afternoon.
Max apparent temp...92.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    southwest 5 to 7 mph early in the morning, then
                    shifting to the northwest 6 to 8 mph
                    late in the morning. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height (m)...152-1554 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph shifting to the northwest 10
                    to 14 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds m/s.Northwest 4 to 6 meters/second.
LVORI...............4.
Rainfall amount.....0.17 inches.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........81  79  66  70  64  64  57  57  31  14  9   11
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).40  40  40  40  40  40  40  10  10  10  10  10
Temp............73  72  74  76  79  81  84  86  87  88  89  87
Dewpoint........71  71  72  73  73  72  71  71  70  68  67  66
RH..............93  97  93  90  82  74  67  61  57  52  48  49
Aparnt tmp (F)..73  72  74  76  79  85  89  91  92  92  92  90
20 FT wind dir..W   WSW SSW SW  W   NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   8   8   7   8   8   8   8   9   8
20 FT wind gust.9   9   9   13  13  10  13  13  13  13  14  13
Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.5 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.6 1.6
Transp wind dir.SW  W   W   W   WNW WNW WNW WNW WNW WNW NNW NNW
Transp wind spd.10  10  10  10  10  10  10  14  14  14  14  14
Trans wind dir..SW  W   W   W   WNW WNW WNW WNW WNW WNW NNW NNW
Trans spd (m/s).4   4   4   4   4   4   4   6   6   6   6   6
LVORI...........5   6   6   6   4   3   3   2   1   1   1   1

$$
Forecaster...GRIGSBY
Requested by...David Stoesz
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2413586.1/LIX
.DELDT 05/09/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jeremy_edwardson@fws.gov,david_stoesz@fws.gov,sami_gray@fws.gov