Suppression Forecast
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000
FNUS71 KPBZ 141035
FWSPBZ

Spot Forecast for SGL 330 IBA...Pa Game Commission
National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA
635 AM EDT Sat Apr 14 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 EDT on April 14.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (412) 262-1485, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.Discussion...

Rain chances will increase over the weekend with the approach of
a cold front.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Isolated rain
                    showers late in the afternoon. Scattered rain
                    showers late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 73.
Min humidity........46 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 10 mph with
                    gusts to around 18 mph early in the morning.
Mixing height.......300-1900 ft AGL increasing to 2900-4200 ft AGL
                    late in the morning, then increasing to
                    4700-6200 ft AGL in the afternoon decreasing to
                    3500 ft AGL late in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 12 mph increasing to 26 to 29
                    mph.
Haines Index........2 to 4...or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........59  61  63  65  66  68  70  72  74  76  78  80
Weather cov.....                                        ISO SCT
Weather type....                                        RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  0   10  10  0   10  20  30
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............56  56  57  60  64  67  69  71  72  73  73  72
RH..............64  67  67  62  56  52  49  48  46  46  46  48
20 FT wind dir..SW  S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..4   4   5   6   7   8   9   9   10  10  9   8
20 FT wind gust.6   5           8   12  14  14  17  18  17  17
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.9 2.9 4.2 5.5 6.2 5.8 4.7 3.5
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.5   7   9   12  15  17  20  22  24  26  29  29
Haines index....2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers
                    early in the evening, then rain showers likely
                    early in the evening. Chance of rain showers in
                    the late evening and overnight.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 51.
Max humidity........92 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 6 to 7 mph shifting to the east
                    6 to 8 mph early in the evening.
Mixing height.......500-2400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 16 to 23 mph shifting to the east 7 to 13
                    mph early in the evening.
Haines Index........2 to 4...or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........83  85  86  88  90  92  92  93  93  94  95  96
Weather cov.....CHC CHC LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).40  50  60  50  50  50  50  50  40  40  40  40
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............69  65  62  60  59  58  56  54  53  53  54  54
RH..............54  62  74  78  80  82  86  90  92  92  91  91
20 FT wind dir..S   SW  N   NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..7   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   7   7   8   8
20 FT wind gust.13  13  10  10  8   8   8   8   10  10  10  11
Mix hgt (kft)...2.4 1.5 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7
Transp wind dir.SW  W   W   NW  N   N   NE  E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.23  16  10  8   7   7   8   10  12  13  13  13
Haines index....4   4   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Chance of rain showers
                    until late afternoon, then rain showers likely
                    late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 65.
Min humidity........71 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 8 to 14 mph. Gusts up to 26 mph
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......600-2500 ft AGL increasing to 2400-3600 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast 13 to 21 mph increasing to 35 to 36
                    mph.
Haines Index........2 to 3...or very low.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........95  93  92  93  93  94  94  95  95  96  96  97
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).40  30  30  30  40  40  40  50  50  50  60  60
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............53  52  51  53  57  61  63  65  65  65  63  61
RH..............94  99  99  96  88  81  75  71  71  71  72  75
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..8   8   9   9   10  11  12  12  12  13  13  14
20 FT wind gust.12  12  13  14  17  18  18  18  18  19  20  21
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.6 0.7 1.0 1.4 1.9 2.5 3.2 3.6 3.4 2.9 2.4
Transp wind dir.E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   SE
Transp wind spd.13  13  14  15  18  21  24  26  30  32  35  36
Haines index....2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

$$
Forecaster...TG
Requested by...Cliff Guindon
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1806674.0/PBZ
.EMAIL cliffcmapa@gmail.com


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