Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mt. Holly, NJ

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000
FNUS71 KPHI 250255
FWSPHI

Spot Forecast for Darrones Rx...National Park Service
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
1055 PM EDT Tue Apr 24 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 2300 EDT on April 24.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office if you have questions or concerns with
this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
An area of low pressure located near the Carolinas will continue to
move northward across the eastern seaboard, crossing our area
Wednesday into Wednesday night, then into New England by Thursday.
Very weak high pressure tries to build into the region Thursday,
before another low pressure moves northward across the east coast
Friday and into New England Saturday as it combines with another low
pressure. A cold front is expected Saturday, with additional surface
troughs Sunday into Monday. High pressure across the Great Lakes and
Ohio Valley Sunday will build to our south Monday into Tuesday.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (95-100 percent). Rain likely late in
                    the evening, then rain after midnight.
CWR.................70 percent increasing to 100 percent.
Chance of pcpn......100 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 45.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Wind shift..........None expected.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 6 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......700-800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 10 to 13 mph.

TIME (EDT)      11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........100 100 100 100 100 100 100
Weather cov.....LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
Weather type....RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
Tstm cov........
CWR.............70  80  90  90  100 100 100
Chc of pcpn (%).70  80  90  90  100 100 100
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............51  50  49  48  47  47  47
RH..............68  74  80  86  93  93  93
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..8   7   6   6   6   7   7
20 FT wind gust.10  10  8   7   8   8   10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.10  10  10  10  10  10  13

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain in the morning,
                    then rain likely early in the afternoon. Chance
                    of rain early in the afternoon.
CWR.................100 percent decreasing to 50 percent.
Chance of pcpn......100 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 58.
Min humidity........77 percent.
Wind shift..........Wind shift to the north possible late.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 6 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......600-1400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 10 to 14 mph.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........100 100 100 96  93  89  86  83  80  81  81  82
Weather cov.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
Tstm cov........
CWR.............100 100 90  90  90  80  70  60  50  50  50  50
Chc of pcpn (%).100 100 90  90  90  80  70  60  50  50  50  50
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............47  48  48  50  51  53  54  55  57  57  57  58
RH..............96  93  93  89  89  86  86  86  80  80  80  77
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..8   8   8   8   7   7   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10  10  10  8   8   8   7   7
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 1.4
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.13  13  14  14  14  13  13  13  10  10  10  10

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers, then slight chance of rain showers
                    early in the morning.
CWR.................50 percent decreasing to 20 percent.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 45.
Max humidity........96 percent.
Wind shift..........Winds shift to the northwest late in the evening.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 5 to 6 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light, then becoming northwest 5 to 6
                    mph after midnight.
Mixing height.......800-1600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 1 to 10 mph shifting to the northwest
                    late in the evening, then increasing to 17 to
                    18 mph after midnight.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........83  84  84  87  90  93  90  87  85  82  79  75
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............50  50  50  50  50  50  50  50  30  30  30  20
Chc of pcpn (%).50  50  50  50  50  50  50  50  30  30  30  20
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............57  57  56  55  54  52  51  50  48  47  46  45
RH..............77  77  77  80  83  89  89  89  93  93  93  96
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  N   N   N   NW  NW  N   N   NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   5   3   3   3   3   5   5   5   6
20 FT wind gust.            6   4   4   4   4   6   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...1.4 1.4 1.2 1.2 1.2 0.8 0.8 0.8 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.6
Transp wind dir.E   E   NE  NE  NE  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.10  10  1   1   1   5   5   5   17  17  17  18

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers early in the morning.
CWR.................20 percent decreasing to 10 percent early in
                    the morning.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 64.
Min humidity........34 percent.
Wind shift..........None expected.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 6 to 9 mph.
Mixing height.......1600-2900 ft AGL increasing to 4000-4100 ft AGL
                    early in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest 14 to 18 mph.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........64  53  42  42  41  40  40  39  39  41  43  45
Weather cov.....SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............20  20  10  10  10  10  10  10  0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).20  20  10  10  10  10  10  10  0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............46  46  48  50  52  55  57  59  61  63  64  64
RH..............93  89  83  74  63  55  49  44  39  36  35  34
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..6   6   7   7   8   9   9   9   9   8   7   6
20 FT wind gust.    7   10  10  10  12  12  12  12  10  10  7
Mix hgt (kft)...1.6 1.6 1.9 1.9 1.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.0
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W
Transp wind spd.18  18  17  17  17  17  17  17  17  17  17  14

$$
Forecaster...Silva
Requested by...Matt Boss
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1807477.3/PHI
.EMAIL matt_boss@nps.gov



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