Text Products for FWS Issued by JKL

Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6
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FNUS73 KJKL 231453
FWSJKL

Spot Forecast for STR - Lick Creek...USFS
National Weather Service Jackson KY
1053 AM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1100 EDT on April 23.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...Southwest winds will increase through the afternoon
at around 9 to 12 mph with gusts around 15 to 20 mph. This will
mix down dry air with RH values dropping to around 25 percent
between 2 PM and 6 PM this afternoon. RH values will recover some
tonight and especially late tonight with a cold front bringing
rain showers. However, this rain shower activity will be light,
with only around a tenth of an inch or less expected.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 72.
Min humidity........22 percent.
Dewpoint............32.
Max apparent temp...72.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 9 to 12 mph.
Ridgetop wind.......Southwest 12 to 14 mph.
Mixing height.......5800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 24 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (44200 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (55400 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon increasing to excellent (114500
                    knot-ft).
LVORI...............1.
ADI.................60 early in the morning increasing to 106 in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 to 5 or very low to moderate potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........4   13  24  24  22  33  42
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............60  63  65  68  70  72  71
Dewpoint........31  31  31  31  32  33  33
RH..............33  30  28  25  24  24  25
Aparnt tmp (F)..60  63  65  68  70  72  71
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..10  12  13  13  13  14  14
20 FT wind gust.15  16  18  20  21  21  21
Ridge wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Ridge wind spd..12  13  14  14  14  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...3.4 4.0 5.1 5.6 5.7 5.7 5.8
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.15  16  16  17  21  23  24
LVORI...........1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............62  60  67  75  90  101 106
Haines index....5   4   4   3   3   4   4
Vrate kt-ft/1K..44  55  71  85  102 115 121
Ventrate Cat....FR  FR  GD  GD  VGD VGD VGD

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers overnight. Chance of rain showers
                    overnight, then rain showers likely after 3 am.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 52.
Max humidity........89 percent.
Dewpoint............34 increasing to 44.
Max apparent temp...71.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 9 to 12 mph.
Ridgetop wind.......Southwest 12 to 14 mph.
Mixing height.......200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 14 to 20 mph decreasing to 8 to 12
                    mph early in the evening, then shifting to the
                    west around 10 mph early in the morning.
Vent Rate...........Good (74500 knot-ft) decreasing to poor (1800
                    knot-ft).
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................76 early in the evening decreasing to 6 late in
                    the night.
Haines Index........2 to 5 or very low to moderate potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........36     23     29     61     83     88
Weather cov.....                     S CHC  CHANCE LIKELY
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      20     40     60
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............71     65     61     59     59     56
Dewpoint........33     35     38     42     43     45
RH..............25     33     42     53     55     66
Aparnt tmp (F)..71     65     61     59     59     56
20 ft wind......SW 14  SW 14  SW 12  SW 10  SW 10  W 10
20 ft wind gust.21     21     17     16     15     15
Ridgetop wind...SW 14  SW 14  SW 13  SW 12  SW 12  W 12
Mix hgt (ft)....4400   300    200    300    400    600
Transport wind..SW 20  SW 9   SW 9   SW 10  SW 12  W 12
LVORI...........1      2      2      2      2      3
ADI.............76     8      6      9      10     10
Haines index....4      4      5      5      3      2
Vrate kt-ft/1K..75     2      2      2      4      6
Ventrate Cat....GOOD   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming
                    mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers early in the morning, then slight
                    chance of rain showers early in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 70.
Min humidity........30 percent.
Dewpoint............49 decreasing to 39.
Max apparent temp...70.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 8 mph shifting to the northwest
                    around 8 mph late in the afternoon.
Ridgetop wind.......West 7 to 10 mph shifting to the northwest
                    around 10 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 7 to 10 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (3400 knot-ft) increasing to fair (38700
                    knot-ft).
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................6 early in the morning increasing to 64 in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........2 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........85        65        54        26
Weather cov.....CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR    NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).50        10        0         0
LAL.............1         1         1         1
Temp............53        53        63        69
Dewpoint........47        50        49        42
RH..............80        89        60        37
Aparnt tmp (F)..53        53        63        69
20 FT wind......W 9G13    W 6G9     NW 8G12   NW 9G13
Ridgetop wind...W 10      W 7       NW 9      NW 10
Mix hgt (ft)....600       1200      3700      5400
Transport wind..W 9       W 7       NW 8      NW 10
LVORI...........4         5         2         1
ADI.............8         10        29        64
Haines index....2         3         4         4
Vrate kt-ft/1K..5         7         26        49
Ventrate Cat....POOR      POOR      POOR      FAIR

$$
Forecaster...DJ
Requested by...Wendy Becker
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2411962.0/JKL
.DELDT 04/23/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL kykic@firenet.gov
National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office
