Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX
129 FXUS64 KAMA 132334 AFDAMA Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Amarillo TX 534 PM CST Sat Dec 13 2025 ...New UPDATE, AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 1205 PM CST Sat Dec 13 2025 - A cold front will provide brief colder temperatures to the panhandles for Sunday. - The chance of impactful weather over the next 7 days is very low. && .UPDATE... Issued at 530 PM CST Sat Dec 13 2025 A low cloud deck, that is currently located over the northeast half of the CWA, is progressing south and west this evening. Much cooler temperatures in the 30s are being observed beneath this cloud deck as it races south, so expect a quick drop in temperatures once the clouds move overhead this evening. Behind a cold front tonight, temperatures will be below freezing and some patchy fog may develop across the western Panhandles. Freezing fog will be possible given the cold temperatures, but impacts from freezing fog should be minimal, with the only expected impact being localized lower visibility. Patchy freezing fog has been added to the western Panhandles for tonight along with other minimal forecast edits through tomorrow morning. Muscha && .SHORT TERM... (This afternoon through Sunday night) Issued at 1205 PM CST Sat Dec 13 2025 A cold front is passing across the panhandles today and will depart to our south by the later afternoon. Following the passage of the cold front the winds will shift to the north to north east and become gusty. The winds will most likely be gusting in the 20s to 30s mph range during the daytime then weakening to the 20s mph for the evening and early overnight. These winds will push in colder air across the panhandles leading to a drop in the temperatures. Overnight some moisture along the periphery of the colder air will lead to the formation of a bank of low clouds. This bank of clouds will drift to the SW and and come to sit across mainly the western half of the panhandles. Underneath this cloud bank there is a low chance that freezing fog will form which can create some travel difficulties for Sunday. Whatever fog that manages to form along with the bank of low clouds will rapidly dissipate late Sunday morning. The benefit of the low clouds will be keeping the overnight low a little warmer in the lower 20s. For in the eastern panhandles where skies are more likely to be clear the overnight lows will most likely drop into the teens. The rest of Sunday will retain colder air leading to temperatures roughly 10 to 20 degrees colder when compared to today. The larger temperature drops will be in the eastern panhandles while the smaller temperatures drops will be for the western panhandles. Otherwise both today and Sunday will continue the trend of dry and fair weather days. && .LONG TERM... (Monday through next Friday) Issued at 1205 PM CST Sat Dec 13 2025 The pattern of quiet dry weather has a high chance of continuing through much of next work week. Monday through Wednesday the southern plains is most likely to stay under a ridge of higher pressure leading to warm and dry conditions. This would continue the stretch of above normal temperatures with dry and fair weather conditions. Thursday there is a moderate chance for the ridge to break down allowing a dry weather system to push across the panhandles. Since this system is most likely to be dry the only noticeable impacts will be a brief dip in the temperatures and gusty winds. For Friday into Saturday the most likely scenario is for either a neutral period or a ridge to move across the southern plains. This would lead to another couple of warmer than normal days with dry weather conditions. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 530 PM CST Sat Dec 13 2025 Low clouds are moving south and west which are leading to MVFR or lower ceilings, which is currently impacting KGUY. KAMA and KDHT will eventually be underneath this low cloud deck and MVFR to IFR ceilings and visibility can be expected once this cloud deck moves overhead. Patchy fog will be possible at the sites in addition to the low clouds. The clouds and potential fog should clear out shortly after sunrise and VFR conditions are expected thereafter. Breezy winds out of the northeast will diminish overnight and turn to out of the south towards the later half of this TAF cycle. Muscha && .AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. OK...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...98 LONG TERM....98 AVIATION...05