Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL
862 FXUS64 KBMX 132323 AFDBMX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Birmingham AL 523 PM CST Sat Dec 13 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 507 PM CST SAT DEC 13 2025 - Dangerously cold temperatures are expected Sunday night through early Monday morning, with minimum wind chill values from 7 degrees north to 15 degrees south. - A Cold Weather Advisory is effect from 6 PM Sunday through 7 AM Monday morning. && .DISCUSSION... (This evening through next Friday) Issued at 223 PM CST SAT DEC 13 2025 Light rain is ongoing in spots across southern counties in Central Alabama. Much of the area is currently partly to mostly cloudy, and more widespread rain will begin to move into the area after 6 pm. Some CAM guidance hints that showers should form into a line along ans southeast of Interstate 85, with a rumble or two of thunder not out of the question before the line moves out of the southeastern counties. Rain chances decrease quickly after 6 am, with a few light showers lingering across the south or southeast through 9 or 10 am at the latest. Northerly winds will pick up dramatically on Sunday behind the cold front, with gusts 20-25 mph forecast. Skies should clear by midday as temperatures struggle to get out of the 30s in most areas along and north of Interstate 20. Temperatures will fall quickly after dark, reaching the mid to upper teens in all north and central locations Sunday night. Low 20s are expected across the southeastern areas. Wind chill values will be in the 7 to 15 degree range early Monday morning, with the lowest values occurring in many areas from 10 pm to 3 am. Winds will subside by Monday morning, with wind chill values being close to air temperatures by daybreak (mid teens north to low 20s south). Highs will rebound into 40s by Monday afternoon, followed by another night of low to mid 20s area-wide. Highs will be in the 50s Tuesday, upper 50s to low 60s Wednesday, and 60s to around 70 on Thursday. Rain chances look to return by Thursday, ending by Friday morning. 12 && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 507 PM CST SAT DEC 13 2025 Low clouds will return overnight, with most terminals falling into MVFR and IFR category from reduced CIGs. Light rain will be possible at most terminals overnight as well, with reduced VIS likely during the rainfall. However, strong north winds will get going overnight, allowing for quick mixing into the morning. While VFR conditions are expected area-wide by 14/16z, gusty north winds are expected through the afternoon hours. /44/ && .FIRE WEATHER... Shower activity will increase across the state this afternoon and evening and into the overnight ahead of an arctic front that will bring much colder and drier air into the area Sunday and Monday. Breezy to gusty northerly winds are forecast Sunday with 20 foot winds 12-18 mph and gusts up to 15-22 mph. Min RHs will fall into the 25-40% range, though temperatures will remain in the 30s-40s. Low RHs will persist into Monday, in the 20-30% range, with high temperatures in the 40s. Winds will be lighter Monday, generally less than 5 mph. Central Alabama will be rain-free Sunday through Wednesday. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Gadsden 26 36 16 43 / 50 0 0 0 Anniston 30 38 16 45 / 70 0 0 0 Birmingham 28 36 18 43 / 60 0 0 0 Tuscaloosa 31 40 18 45 / 60 0 0 0 Calera 30 40 17 46 / 70 0 0 0 Auburn 41 48 21 44 / 90 10 0 0 Montgomery 40 48 21 46 / 90 10 0 0 Troy 43 52 21 46 / 80 20 0 0 && .BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Cold Weather Advisory from 6 PM Sunday to 7 AM CST Monday for the following counties: Autauga-Barbour-Bibb-Blount-Bullock- Calhoun-Chambers-Cherokee-Chilton-Clay-Cleburne-Coosa-Dallas- Elmore-Etowah-Fayette-Greene-Hale-Jefferson-Lamar-Lee-Lowndes- Macon-Marengo-Marion-Montgomery-Perry-Pickens-Pike-Randolph- Russell-Shelby-St. Clair-Sumter-Talladega-Tallapoosa-Tuscaloosa- Walker-Winston. && $$ DISCUSSION.../44/ AVIATION.../44/