070
FXUS64 KCRP 132331
AFDCRP

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
531 PM CST Sat Dec 13 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 526 PM CST Sat Dec 13 2025

- Near to below normal temperatures in the wake of tomorrow`s cold
  front

- Dense fog expected again tonight into tomorrow morning

- Low chance for rain over land associated with tomorrow`s cold
  front

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 112 PM CST Sat Dec 13 2025

Dense fog will likely be an issue again tonight into tomorrow
morning ahead of the front. As the front arrives expect gusty
conditions will cooler temperatures in its wake. Lows are expected
to drop into the 30s across much of the Coastal Plains and
Victoria Crossroads. Some lows in our northern portions of the
region especially drainage areas and up near Victoria could
approach freezing. It`s worth keeping an eye on as HREF
probabilities has a low to medium chance (20-45%) for temperatures
below 33 degrees. Otherwise, along and ahead of the front a low
to chance will exist for showers and thunderstorms though best
chances will be over the waters. The rest of the period will
consist of persisting dry conditions with a warming trend
dominating the remainder of the week. Highs look to be in the
upper 80s across much of the region by Thursday.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 526 PM CST Sat Dec 13 2025

VFR conditions are expected to continue through this evening
before MVFR conditions move in after 06z with the wind shift
associated with the approaching cold front. There is a low to
medium chance for IFR/LIFR ceilings to develop between 07-11z.
Once the stronger winds in the wake of the cold front kick in
after 11-12z ceilings should gradually improve.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 112 PM CST Sat Dec 13 2025

A gentle southeast flow is expected to continue through tonight
before our next cold front swings through and shifts winds to the
northeast and strengthening to a strong to near gale (BF 6-7)
Sunday morning. Winds will remain elevated through Sunday night
before weakening to a moderate breeze by Monday afternoon. Due to
the elevated winds a Small Craft Advisory has been issued for all
of the waters through Sunday night. A Gale Watch was issued as
well for the Gulf waters out 20-60 NM. Medium (40-70%) rain
chances are expected today through Sunday in association with the
cold front as it approaches and swings through the region.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 112 PM CST Sat Dec 13 2025

Despite the passage of our next cold front, relative humidity levels
are expected to remain above 30% with relatively light to moderate
winds. Therefore, elevated fire weather conditions are not expected
through early next week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Corpus Christi    60  65  42  58 /  20  20   0   0
Victoria          54  60  35  57 /  20  10   0   0
Laredo            61  67  44  62 /   0  40  10   0
Alice             58  66  41  60 /  20  20   0   0
Rockport          58  65  41  58 /  20  10   0   0
Cotulla           57  63  41  59 /  10  20   0   0
Kingsville        60  67  43  61 /  10  20   0   0
Navy Corpus       62  66  46  59 /  20  20   0   0

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory from 5 AM Sunday to 3 AM CST Monday for
     GMZ231-232-236-237-250-255.

     Small Craft Advisory from 5 AM to 9 AM CST Sunday for GMZ270-275.

     Gale Watch from Sunday morning through late Sunday night for
     GMZ270-275.

&&

$$


DISCUSSION...NP/92
AVIATION...JCP/84