450
FXUS62 KMFL 120542
AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Miami FL
1242 AM EST Fri Dec 12 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1239 AM EST Fri Dec 12 2025

  - Mostly dry and seasonable weather for the remainder of the
    week.

  - High risk of rip currents continues today for all Palm
    Beaches.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 111 PM EST Thu Dec 11 2025

Frontal boundary moving through South FL today which will bring a
reinforcing shot of cooler and drier air to the region tonight.
Lows tonight will be in the 40s around the lake region and 50s for
the rest of South FL. High pressure will be in control through
Friday and then moisture starts to increase this weekend bringing
the threat of showers back into the forecast this weekend,
especially on Sunday as a warm front lifts north across the
region. Another cold front crosses South FL early next week which
will bring dry conditions back to the area for a couple days
before moisture increases the middle of next week as the low level
flow becomes easterly.

Temperatures will be on a roller coaster over the next week with
below normal temps through Friday, around normal this weekend, and
then slightly below normal again early next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Friday)
Issued at 335 AM EST Thu Dec 11 2025

A post-frontal air mass is now spreading across the state with
northerly flow increasing dry/colder air advection from the north
as high pressure establishes over the SE CONUS. 00Z MFL sounding
data already depicted a significantly dry atmosphere above 1 KM,
and PWATs dropping to around 1 inch.

The air mass will also become much more stable today and through the
short term with POPs near zero each day. Meanwhile, the colder air
will bring down afternoon highs, with low-mid 70s across much of
SoFlo today, and mid-upper 70s Friday. Ensembles and global
solutions expand the ridge across the region on Friday, with winds
over SoFlo remaining generally northerly light to moderate flow,
and becoming light while veering east on Friday.

All in all, expect a very enjoyable weather pattern during the next
couple of days.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday night through Wednesday)
Issued at 335 AM EST Thu Dec 11 2025

In general, high pressure will remain in firm control of the area
weather through Saturday, with the air mass gradually warming up
into the low 80s. Low POPs remain in the grids for, with maybe a few
isolated to scattered showers developing ahead of a weak frontal
passage. But even that should remain fairly limited.

Uncertainty remain in model guidance regarding the forecast
scenario, and including any lingering moisture on Monday. Some
solutions still hint at the potential development of an upper-level
disturbance over the Gulf waters. This feature seems to migrate
eastward and reach the peninsula early next week and dragging
moisture into the area. The timing and intensity of its potential
impacts remain uncertain, and latest NBM guidance came fairly dry
for the first half of next week.

Morning lows are expected to remain in the mid 50s over the
interior, and mid 60s along the coasts.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1240 AM EST Thu Dec 11 2025

VFR prevails at all terminals through the next 24 hours. Light
and variable flow will become easterly 8-10 kts after 15Z. A gulf
breeze may briefly shift winds at APF to a westerly flow after
18Z. Light and variable flow returns tonight.


&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 335 AM EST Thu Dec 11 2025

Moderate northerly to northeasterly winds will prevail across the
local waters over the next couple of days as a frontal boundary
lingers over the FL straits. A few showers may return to the
southern Atlantic waters by Saturday. Seas will range from 3-5 ft
each day.

&&

.BEACHES...
Issued at 335 AM EST Thu Dec 11 2025

A high risk of rip currents continues for all Palm Beach county
beaches today as a northeasterly swell increases along the
coastline.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Miami            78  68  80  69 /   0   0  20  60
West Kendall     79  63  81  66 /   0   0  30  60
Opa-Locka        79  66  81  68 /   0   0  20  60
Homestead        79  66  81  68 /   0   0  30  60
Fort Lauderdale  77  68  79  68 /   0   0  20  60
N Ft Lauderdale  77  68  79  68 /   0   0  20  60
Pembroke Pines   79  66  81  67 /   0   0  20  60
West Palm Beach  77  66  79  67 /   0   0  10  50
Boca Raton       78  67  81  68 /   0   0  10  60
Naples           79  61  82  66 /   0   0  10  40

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...17
LONG TERM....17
AVIATION...17