Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Hastings, NE

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

546
FXUS63 KGID 192058
AFDGID

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hastings NE
358 PM CDT Thu Apr 19 2018

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Friday)
Issued at 354 PM CDT Thu Apr 19 2018

This forecast is largely straight forward.

Aloft we have a shortwave ridge and a surface high giving us a sunny
day. Although 925mb to 850 mb temps continue to lag below normal,
giving us temps below average today near 0C to just above, warming
more in the west. Temps today will lag 5-10 degrees below normal.
Generally, highs should be in the mid 60s by this point.

Lows tonight will not be quite as chilly as warm air advection
modestly ensues as the surface high slips east. I like CONSshort
as it keeps us above freezing for lows.

Temps tomorrow should be approaching normal highs in the mid 60s,
but increasing cloudiness may put a damper on this. Expect warm air advection to continue into Friday with increasing
sky cover as a deepening low over CO heads east, putting us into
southwest flow ahead of it. Could be some warm air advection type
showers work in from the west by Friday afternoon, and models are
consistently giving us a good chance of rain (yes, I said rain)

.LONG TERM...(Friday night through Thursday)
Issued at 354 PM CDT Thu Apr 19 2018

Friday night into Saturday, as the closed low passes south of the
CWA across KS/OK. Trends continue to show that this system is
warmer, which keeps us liquid.

Then subsidence behind the wave will give us a dry Sunday, and
flattening ridging should keep Monday dry as well.

Models are consistent with another wave coming through Monday
night into Tuesday, and looks warm enough for all rain. Not enough
instability to include thunder, however. Still looks like we will
be at least somewhat below normal for the entire forecast.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z KGRI/KEAR TAFS through 12Z Friday)
Issued at 512 AM CDT Thu Apr 19 2018

VFR conditions are expected through the period as only some
passing high clouds are anticipated across the region as a ridge
of high pressure moves overhead. At the surface...high pressure
also resides this morning...and mainly light and variable winds
are anticipated through the daytime hours until this ridge shifts
further east and southeasterly return flow near 10 KTS develops
across the local area.


&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
KS...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Heinlein
LONG TERM...Heinlein
AVIATION...Rossi



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.