849
FNUS51 KBUF 080234
FWFBUF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1033 PM EDT Tue May 7 2024

.DISCUSSION...
A warm front will move across the area tonight, with an area of
showers and a few thunderstorms crossing the area from
southwest to northeast. The showers will exit the eastern Lake
Ontario region Wednesday morning. Dry weather will then prevail
most of the time for the rest of Wednesday, although a few more
showers and thunderstorms are possible later in the afternoon
and evening, especially east of Lake Ontario. Unsettled weather
will then last Thursday through the weekend with a series of low
pressure systems crossing the region.

NYZ201-080800-
Lake Ontario Plains-
1033 PM EDT Tue May 7 2024

                              Tonight          Wed    Wed Night          Thu
Cloud cover                     Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip chc (%)                     70           70           40           60
Precip type                     Tstms        Tstms      Showers      Showers
Min/Max Temp                       49           72           46           62
AM Wind (mph)                                SW  9                     NE  7
PM Wind (mph)                 Lgt/Var         W 14         W  6        NE  9
Precip amount                    0.15         0.15         0.03         0.17
Precip duration                     5            4            1            4
Precip begin                    12 AM   Continuing   Continuing         8 AM
Precip end                 Continuing   Continuing        11 PM   Continuing
Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           40          100           53
Haines Index                        4            3            2            2
LAL                                 4            4            4            2
Mixing height (ft-AGL)             70         8300                      4920
Transport wind (kt)             NE  8         W 26        NW 12         E 13
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                 560       215800            0        63960
Dispersion Index                    1          216            0           64
Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ200-080800-
Southern Tier-
1033 PM EDT Tue May 7 2024

                              Tonight          Wed    Wed Night          Thu
Cloud cover                     Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip chc (%)                     80            0            0           80
Precip type                     Tstms         None         None        Tstms
Min/Max Temp                       56           75           46           62
AM Wind (mph)                                 W 12                     NE  5
PM Wind (mph)                 Lgt/Var         W 17         W  9        NE  8
Precip amount                    0.18         0.00         0.00         0.25
Precip duration                     5                                      9
Precip begin                    10 PM                                   8 AM
Precip end                       6 AM                             Continuing
Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           27           99           56
Haines Index                        3            4            4            3
LAL                                 4            3            2            3
Mixing height (ft-AGL)             30         8900           20         3490
Transport wind (kt)              E  9         W 34         W 14         E 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                 270       302600          280        41880
Dispersion Index                    0          303            0           42
Remarks...None.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
upper 40s.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the mid
50s.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely. Lows in the lower 40s.
Highs in the upper 50s.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the mid
40s. Highs in the upper 50s.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the mid
40s. Highs in the mid 60s.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the mid 60s.

WIND THURSDAY NIGHT...North around 10 mph.
WIND FRIDAY...North around 10 mph.
WIND SATURDAY...Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
WIND SUNDAY...Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
WIND MONDAY...South around 10 mph.
WIND TUESDAY...Southwest around 10 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$