Probabilistic Outlook Points
Issued by NWS

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212
WUUS01 KWNS 121629
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1127 AM CDT SUN MAY 12 2024

VALID TIME 121630Z - 131200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   34900195 36120238 36990260 37860255 38250199 38270130
       37550084 36130046 34990020 34300009 33429971 32169849
       31859665 31949412 31939238 31719045 31318883 30768882
       30368888 30158964 29889166 29499382 28959590 29319990
       31630134 32900174 34900195
0.05   30799716 31269632 31379449 31229130 30889097 30469087
       30259117 29839396 29679510 29589654 30039709 30799716
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   35150203 37090265 37930249 39570210 39740074 39409991
       37339830 36069798 33999801 33399761 32919613 32889370
       32889277 32389081 32108982 31668898 31338867 30728867
       30148944 30059020 29999079 29849176 29739255 29489383
       28979586 29089725 29249885 29319990 30650072 31580130
       32200153 33000175 35150203
0.05   42608611 42598755 43138909 43618990 44839087 46099061
       46448760 46228554 45538455 44578378 43688422 42608611
0.15   30799918 31300053 31770077 32250076 32680027 32319917
       31759874 31099868 30799918
0.15   44428715 44278787 44448896 44698942 45188982 45838974
       46098796 46018670 45668637 44428715
0.15   31779643 31899535 31969379 31849172 31719058 31368975
       30988968 30568970 30359012 29879365 29689492 29559655
       30059706 30849718 31779643
SIGN   32279916 31799876 31059870 30819919 31340054 31760075
       32270075 32710026 32279916
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   32950175 34490193 35290206 36370245 37070263 37880253
       39590211 39640131 39050060 38479988 37129974 35799949
       34629923 33429912 32769806 32429616 32399307 32229066
       31718853 31198824 30828830 30208881 30118961 30009078
       29489381 28959585 29319991 31600133 32950175
0.05   42578613 42628765 43138907 43608992 44849088 46089063
       46458760 46288624 45238491 44348479 43488513 42578613
0.15   31929376 31889206 31709040 31288914 30738922 30369016
       29959309 29899360 29639502 29559656 30109708 30799720
       31799641 31909543 31929376
0.15   44408721 44278780 44448901 44688943 45198984 45848970
       46098804 46008672 45678638 44408721
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

SLGT   32250076 32680027 32319917 31759874 31099868 30799918
       31300053 31770077 32250076
SLGT   31429671 31799641 31969379 31719045 31288915 30718923
       30359023 29849375 29649513 29579655 30079709 30779719
       31429671
SLGT   45848970 46088795 46008670 45668637 45118674 44408721
       44278793 44478902 44708946 45218985 45848970
MRGL   39350218 39640192 39740074 39409991 37349830 36069798
       33999801 33399761 32919613 32909273 31678845 31218823
       30778829 30208881 29999079 29489381 28949582 29319991
       31600133 32960172 35330208 36920263 37940254 39350218
MRGL   46458760 46208558 45608462 44558377 43688421 42578613
       42598755 43138909 43608992 44849088 46089061 46458760
TSTM   44167788 43397805 42777830 42097888 41648036 41388232
       41338500 41098694 40878852 40158971 38999057 37759118
       36299069 35418993 34818881 34248831 32708767 31598763
       29608785 99999999 28810153 30300132 31600176 32790261
       34030385 34300467 34380557 34480656 34860712 36160802
       37540883 38840924 39280959 39311021 39291070 39571140
       40381181 41361200 42371159 43161110 43971080 45301059
       46061101 46931223 48181375 49541545 99999999 49580512
       48710488 48140471 47370370 46190180 45330044 45029900
       45129767 45349584 45569419 46049282 46709134 47219010
       47528820 47508547 99999999 37267512 38117612 39127662
       39717664 40007623 39957570 39747485 39177372 99999999
       35721832 35751860 35961902 36581949 38632071 39182063
       39492032 39501985 39041930 37251817 36401781 35921793
       35721832 99999999 40872060 40932117 41072197 41512268
       42202280 43102193 43732078 43851998 43711880 42981775
       42511770 42051816 41171948 40842011 40872060

&&
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 E
BGS 40 WNW ABI 30 ESE ABI 15 ESE BWD 50 SSE BWD 40 ENE JCT SJT 30
NNW SJT 45 E BGS.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 ESE
ACT 15 S CRS 35 S SHV 35 N MCB 15 SE PIB 25 NNW GPT 25 W ASD 20 ESE
BPT 10 E HOU 55 NNE VCT 40 ESE AUS 30 SSE TPL 35 ESE ACT.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NW
RHI 20 NNE IMT 25 NE ESC 35 E ESC 45 SSE ESC 30 NE MTW 15 NW MTW 40
ESE CWA 10 ESE CWA 25 NNW AUW 20 NW RHI.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 NE
ITR 25 NNW GLD 35 SSW MCK HLC 15 ENE P28 20 S END 30 E SPS 40 NNW
FTW 40 E DAL 20 SSE ELD 50 SSE MEI 35 N MOB MOB 20 SE GPT 30 NNW HUM
35 SSE BPT 25 WSW LBX 45 W HDO 45 SSE BGS 50 S LBB 20 WNW AMA 25 S
SPD 10 SE LAA 10 NE ITR.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM MQT 55
NW PLN 10 ENE PLN 20 WNW OSC 10 NNW MBS 35 NNE BEH 20 SE RAC 10 E
MSN 30 SE VOK 30 E EAU 35 SSE ASX MQT.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 N ROC 25 NW ROC 25
ESE BUF 20 ESE JHW 30 NW FKL 25 W CLE 25 NNE FWA 25 S VPZ 35 NE BMI
20 N SPI 20 NNW STL 40 W FAM 15 NE ARG 25 N MEM 35 N TUP 25 E TUP 35
S TCL 35 WNW GZH 70 SW PNS ...CONT... 55 SW DRT 55 ENE 6R6 35 SE MAF
35 ENE HOB 40 SW CVS 60 ENE 4CR 20 NNE 4CR 35 NNE ONM 30 WSW ABQ 40
SSE FMN 20 NNW CEZ 30 E CNY 35 NNE CNY 20 N U28 20 S PUC 35 W PUC 30
SSE SLC 10 N OGD 40 ENE MLD 35 SSW JAC 25 N JAC 30 SSW LVM 20 NNE
BZN 25 NNW HLN 25 ESE GPI 100 NNW GPI ...CONT... 105 NNE OLF 55 NE
OLF 40 NW SDY 35 SE SDY 25 NE Y22 15 S MBG 40 SW ABR 30 WNW ATY 30 E
VVV STC 65 SSW DLH 25 WNW ASX 40 SSE GNA 30 NNE CMX 90 NW ANJ
...CONT... 50 SSE WAL 20 SE NHK BWI 35 N BWI 35 ESE CXY 20 NNW ILG
25 ESE PHL 50 ESE ACY ...CONT... 35 W NID 35 NE BFL 35 N BFL 20 SE
FAT 40 WSW TVL 40 WNW TVL 30 W RNO RNO 40 ENE TVL 15 SE BIH 50 N NID
20 NW NID 35 W NID ...CONT... 40 S AAT 50 SW AAT 25 SE MHS 25 NW MHS
10 SSE MFR 65 N LMT 40 SSE RDM 55 WNW BNO 10 NE BNO 30 NNE REO 10
ESE REO 40 SSW REO 60 ESE AAT 50 SSE AAT 40 S AAT.