Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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000
FNUS74 KLZK 122133
FWSLZK

Spot Forecast for BP Greenhaw RX...USFS
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
433 PM CDT Fri Apr 12 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on April 12.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (800) 482-8471 and ask for the fire
weather forecaster if you have any questions or concerns with
this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

High pressure will continue to control the weather pattern through
the period promoting calm and drier conditions. Winds will be out
of the NW through the evening hours before becoming out of the SW
Saturday afternoon.

.TONIGHT...

Min temperature.....Min 51.
Max humidity........Max 66 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Transport winds.....West 6 to 10 mph shifting to the southwest 9 to
                    12 mph overnight.
Stability class.....6.
LVORI...............2.
Sky/weather.........Clear (0-5 percent).
Dispersion..........18 decreasing to 5 in the late evening and
                    overnight.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
1700 Ft Mix Temp....MISSING.
Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 3843 ft MSL.
Category Day........2.
Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 2200 ft AGL.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............66  64  60  57  55  55  54  53  53  53  53  52
RH..............30  37  41  47  53  55  52  54  54  54  59  63
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   SW
20 FT wind spd..7   5   3   3   5   3   3   3   5   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.11  7   6   6   6   5   6   6   8   8   8   10
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S
Transp wind spd.10  7   6   7   8   8   9   9   10  10  12  12
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

.SATURDAY...

Max temperature.....Max 76.
Min humidity........Min 35 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Transport winds.....Southwest 12 to 18 mph increasing to 22 to 29
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Stability class.....3.
LVORI...............2 early in the morning.
Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Dispersion..........19 increasing to 74.
Haines Index........5 to 6 or moderate to high potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
1700 Ft Mix Temp....74.
Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 5997 ft MSL.
Category Day........5.
Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 4400 ft AGL.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............53  53  56  60  64  67  71  73  74  76  76  75
RH..............64  66  64  60  58  52  44  43  41  37  36  36
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..7   7   8   12  15  15  15  16  15  16  16  16
20 FT wind gust.10  10  12  18  22  22  23  24  23  24  24  24
Transp wind dir.S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.12  13  15  18  22  24  25  26  28  29  29  25
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

Min temperature.....Min 57.
Max humidity........Max 67 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Transport winds.....Southwest 20 to 26 mph.
Stability class.....4.
LVORI...............2.
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Dispersion..........37 decreasing to 24 in the late evening and
                    overnight.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
1700 Ft Mix Temp....MISSING.
Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 3871 ft MSL.
Category Day........3.
Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 2300 ft AGL.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......MCR MCR MCR MCR CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............74  70  67  66  64  64  64  63  62  61  60  59
RH..............35  41  45  47  50  52  54  56  58  60  62  64
20 FT wind dir..SW  S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..15  15  16  18  20  21  21  21  21  20  18  18
20 FT wind gust.23  23  25  28  29  30  31  32  31  30  29  28
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.22  20  20  22  24  25  26  26  26  25  24  23
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

$$
Forecaster...C Rickard
Requested by...Nick Collard
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2410425.1/LZK
.DELDT 04/12/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL nicholas.collard@usda.gov


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