Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
327
FNUS54 KMAF 070806
FWFMAF
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for West Texas/Southeast New Mexico
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
306 AM CDT Tue May 7 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY THIS
EVENING FOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 15% OR LESS, 20-FT WINDS OF 20
MPH OR MORE, AND VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER FOR SOUTHEAST
NEW MEXICO AND WEST TEXAS SOUTH TO THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 15% OR LESS, 20-FT
WINDS OF 20 MPH OR MORE, AND VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER FOR
SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND WEST TEXAS SOUTH TO THE MARFA PLATEAU
AND PRESIDIO VALLEY...
.DISCUSSION...
Above normal temperatures and breezy conditions continue today and
tomorrow, with RHs bottoming out below 15% areawide each afternoon.
Single-digit RHs are forecast generally along and west of the Pecos
River each day, where, unfortunately, most locations missed out on
recent wetting rains. ERCs continue to climb in these areas, nearing
the 90th percentile. 20ft winds from SE NM south to the Davis Mtns
will reach 20 to 30 mph today, where a Red Flag Warning is in effect.
Recovery tonight will be poor out west, and good across far eastern
zones, with another round of critical fire weather conditions with
RFTI around 6-8 expected across western areas Wed. Increased winds
will result in critical conditions from SE NM south to the Presidio
Valley, where a Fire Weather Watch is in effect. A cold front Thurs
will temper fire weather concerns, with lighter winds, below normal
temperatures, and rain chances returning for the weekend.
&&
For point-specific forecasts please see the Point Fire Weather
Matrix product issued by the Midland/Odessa National Weather
Service Office.
NMZ116-072145-
Sacramento Foothills and Guadalupe Mountains-
206 AM MDT Tue May 7 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM MDT
THIS EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING...
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 83 (+6) 49 (-1) 82
RH % (24h trend) 5 (-5) 18 (-4) 6
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 9 W 22 W 14
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 20 W 17 W 21
LAL 1 1 1
Haines Index 4 5 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 30 47 42
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 8310 10260
Transport Wnd (kts) W 32 W 34
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 265920 348840
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 8 8 6
RFTI Category Extreme Extreme Critical
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows around 50. Highs in the upper 70s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North winds
around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs around 70.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Northeast winds
around 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs around 70. Minimum
relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 70s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. South winds around
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 80s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest winds
around 10 mph.
$$
NMZ117-072145-
Chaves Plains-
206 AM MDT Tue May 7 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM MDT
THIS EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING...
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 90 (+6) 52 (0) 89
RH % (24h trend) 5 (-4) 19 (-3) 6
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 7 SW 18 NW 9
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 16 W 13 W 16
LAL 1 1 1
Haines Index 4 5 4
Wind 10000 FT MSL 34 44 34
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 10890 13010
Transport Wnd (kts) W 26 W 22
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 283140 286220
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 6 7 5
RFTI Category Critical Extreme Critical
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows around 50. Highs around 80. Minimum
relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North winds around
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Northeast winds
10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 70s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Southeast winds 10 to
15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Southeast winds 10 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. South winds
around 10 mph.
$$
NMZ118-072145-
Eddy Plains-
206 AM MDT Tue May 7 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM MDT
THIS EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING...
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 90 (+4) 55 (0) 90
RH % (24h trend) 6 (-3) 18 (-4) 7
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 6 SW 18 W 10
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 19 W 11 W 19
LAL 1 1 1
Haines Index 4 5 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 25 47 41
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 8770 11170
Transport Wnd (kts) SW 28 W 30
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 245560 335100
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 8 8 7
RFTI Category Extreme Extreme Extreme
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North winds
around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds
around 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum
relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds 10 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southeast
winds around 10 mph.
$$
NMZ119-072145-
Lea-
206 AM MDT Tue May 7 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM MDT
THIS EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING...
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 88 (+3) 54 (0) 89
RH % (24h trend) 5 (-4) 18 (-3) 6
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 6 SW 17 W 11
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 16 W 12 W 16
LAL 1 1 1
Haines Index 4 5 4
Wind 10000 FT MSL 31 47 40
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 9350 11440
Transport Wnd (kts) W 28 W 26
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 261800 297440
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 8 8 7
RFTI Category Extreme Extreme Extreme
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 80s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Northeast winds
around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Northeast winds
around 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 70s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds 10 to
15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs around 80. Minimum
relative humidity above 15 percent. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum
relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southeast winds 10 to
15 mph.
$$
TXZ270-271-072145-
Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-
Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-
Including the cities of Guadalupe Mountains National Park and
Pine Springs
306 AM CDT Tue May 7 2024 /206 AM MDT Tue May 7 2024/
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON CDT /11 AM MDT/ TODAY TO
9 PM CDT /8 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING...
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 82 (+7) 54 (0) 82
RH % (24h trend) 8 (-3) 18 (0) 8
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 15 W 31 W 29
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 30 W 30 W 30
LAL 1 1 1
Haines Index 4 5 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 35 49 46
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 7000 8440
Transport Wnd (kts) W 32 W 36
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 224000 303840
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 7 8 7
RFTI Category Extreme Extreme Extreme
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Breezy, clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West
winds 15 to 25 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
upper 60s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Northeast
winds around 20 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs around 70. Minimum
relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds around 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum relative humidity at
or below 15 percent. Northwest winds around 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper
70s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 15 mph.
$$
TXZ279-280-282-072145-
Central Brewster County-Chisos Basin-Lower Brewster County-
Including the cities of Big Bend National Park, Panther Junction,
Marathon, Chisos Basin, Lajitas, and Castolon
306 AM CDT Tue May 7 2024
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 97 (+4) 60 (-3) 100
RH % (24h trend) 6 (0) 26 (+2) 4
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NW 7 S 9 W 12
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 11 W 9 W 15
LAL 1 1 1
Haines Index 3 6 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 20 26 31
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 10170 10310
Transport Wnd (kts) W 20 W 20
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 203400 206200
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 3 3 5
RFTI Category Near Crit Near Crit Critical
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 90s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers. Not as
warm. Lows around 60. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum relative
humidity above 15 percent. North winds around 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of
precipitation 30 percent. Northeast winds around 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. North winds 10 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs around 90.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North winds
around 10 mph.
$$
TXZ275-276-281-072145-
Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Presidio Valley-
Including the cities of Marfa and Presidio
306 AM CDT Tue May 7 2024
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING...
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Clear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 92 (+3) 56 (-3) 95
RH % (24h trend) 8 (+2) 26 (+2) 6
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NW 7 W 9 W 12
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 13 W 10 W 16
LAL 1 1 1
Haines Index 4 6 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 30 39 37
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 9350 10500
Transport Wnd (kts) W 22 W 25
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 205700 262500
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 3 3 6
RFTI Category Near Crit Near Crit Critical
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs around 90.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Northwest winds
10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Northeast
winds around 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Northeast winds
around 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum
relative humidity at or below 15 percent. East winds around
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest
winds around 10 mph.
$$
TXZ272-273-277-278-072145-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson County-
Davis Mountains-Davis Mountains Foothills-
Including the cities of Van Horn, Fort Davis, and Alpine
306 AM CDT Tue May 7 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING...
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 89 (+5) 56 (-1) 91
RH % (24h trend) 7 (-1) 24 (+3) 7
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 9 W 15 W 18
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 17 W 17 W 21
LAL 1 1 1
Haines Index 4 5 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 33 46 46
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 8750 9810
Transport Wnd (kts) W 27 W 31
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 236250 304110
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 6 6 7
RFTI Category Critical Critical Extreme
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest winds
around 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Not as warm. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs
in the mid 70s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent.
Northeast winds around 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of
precipitation 30 percent. East winds around 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 80s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. South winds
10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
TXZ045>048-050>053-060>063-067>070-075-082-072145-
Gaines-Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-
Winkler-Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-
Terrell-
Including the cities of Seminole, Lamesa, Gail, Snyder, Andrews,
Stanton, Big Spring, Colorado City, Kermit, Odessa, Midland,
Garden City, Monahans, Crane, McCamey, Rankin, Big Lake,
Fort Stockton, Dryden, and Sanderson
306 AM CDT Tue May 7 2024
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 93 (+2) 59 (0) 95
RH % (24h trend) 8 (-2) 51 (+10) 6
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NW 5 SW 10 W 10
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 11 SW 8 W 13
LAL 1 1 1
Haines Index 5 5 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 27 41 36
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 9470 10400
Transport Wnd (kts) W 23 W 23
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 217810 239200
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 3 3 3
RFTI Category Near Crit Near Crit Near Crit
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. North winds 5 to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum relative humidity
above 15 percent. Northeast winds around 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 70s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds 10 to
15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds around
15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Southeast winds
around 15 mph.
$$
TXZ059-274-072145-
Loving-Reeves County Plains-
Including the cities of Mentone and Pecos
306 AM CDT Tue May 7 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING...
Today Tonight Wed
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 94 (+4) 60 (+1) 94
RH % (24h trend) 7 (0) 20 (0) 6
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 7 W 12 W 11
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 15 SW 9 W 18
LAL 1 1 1
Haines Index 4 5 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 30 41 41
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 9880 10870
Transport Wnd (kts) W 24 W 28
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 237120 304360
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 5 5 6
RFTI Category Critical Critical Critical
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs around 90.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Not as warm. Lows in the upper 50s.
Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum relative humidity above
15 percent. East winds around 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 70s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds around
15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum
relative humidity above 15 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. South
winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$