Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Miami, FL

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506
FNUS72 KMFL 131237
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Spot Forecast for SE1...Seminole Tribe of Florida
National Weather Service Miami FL
837 AM EDT Mon May 13 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EDT on May 13.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (305) 229-4522, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will remain over Lake okeechobee today keeping the
steering flow in a south to southeast direction with speeds of
10 to 15 mph. There is a chance of showers and a few thunderstorms
over the burn site late this afternoon. Primary impacts will be
lighting strikes, small hail, and gusty winds. Relative humidity
will fall down into the lower 40s this afternoon as temperatures
warm up into the mid 90s. However, the heat index readings will
get up into the lower to mid 100s this afternoon over the burn
site.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent) then becoming partly
                    sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 1700, then 9-15 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 97.
Min humidity........42 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 8 to 9 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......6700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South/Southeast 12 to 14 mph.
Dispersion index....50 increasing to 58 early in the afternoon,
                    then increasing to 67 late in the afternoon
                    decreasing to 56 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............1.

TIME (EDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........10  10  18  31  39  35  52  55
Weather cov.....                SCH CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....                RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                    SCH CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   10  20  30  40  30
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   3
Temp............86  90  92  94  95  95  94  95
RH..............63  54  49  43  42  42  43  45
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..8   9   9   9   9   9   9   9
20 FT wind gust.15  17  18  18  18  17  17  17
Mix hgt (kft)...3.4 4.4 5.1 5.9 6.7 6.0 5.2 4.4
Transp wind dir.E   E   SE  SE  S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.12  12  12  12  12  13  14  14
Dispersion idx..47  46  53  57  59  67  57  55
LVORI...........1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms
                    early in the evening, then slight chance of
                    showers early in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
LAL.................9-15 strikes until 1900, then No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 73.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 7 to 8 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    late this afternoon into early evening.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 9 to 13 mph.
Dispersion index....41 decreasing to 9.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........62  68  56  53  48  42  39  41  44  44  43  44
Weather cov.....CHC SCH
Weather type....RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).30  20  10  10  10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............93  90  88  80  79  78  77  76  76  75  75  75
RH..............51  58  63  82  85  88  90  97  97  97  97  97
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..8   8   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   8   8
20 FT wind gust.17  14  14  14  15  13  13  13  13  14  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...3.2 2.0 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.13  12  10  9   10  10  10  12  12  12  12  13
Dispersion idx..41  25  8   8   9   7   8   9   10  10  11  11
LVORI...........1   2   3   4   4   5   6   6   6   6   6   6

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 1400, then 1-8 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 97.
Min humidity........44 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 8 to 12 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......6900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 12 to 17 mph.
Dispersion index....13 increasing to 29 early in the morning, then
                    increasing to 52 late in the morning increasing
                    to 66 late in the morning decreasing to 58.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........45     41     48     36     26     41
Weather cov.....                            S CHC  S CHC
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                            S CHC  S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      20     20
LAL.............1      1      1      1      2      2
Temp............74     78     87     93     96     95
RH..............100    91     66     51     45     44
20 FT wind dir..S      S      S      S      S      SW
20 FT wind spd..8      8      9      12     12     10
20 FT wind gust.15     17     18     20     20     18
Mix hgt (ft)....800    1500   3300   5100   6800   6800
Transport wind..S 14   S 17   S 17   S 16   S 15   SW 13
Dispersion idx..13     29     55     66     70     59
LVORI...........5      4      1      1      1      1

$$
Forecaster...Baxter
Requested by...Jeffrey Radakovic
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2413926.0/MFL
.DELDT 05/13/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0