Area Forecast Discussion Issued by NWS Mobile, AL
000
FXUS64 KMOB 161726
AFDMOB
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1226 PM CDT Tue Apr 16 2024
...New AVIATION, NEAR TERM...
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1226 PM CDT Tue Apr 16 2024
VFR conditions were prevalent across the area this afternoon and
will persist through the evening. Another round of MVFR and
perhaps locally IFR ceilings are expected late tonight into early
Wednesday morning with improvements to VFR expected by mid
Wednesday morning. Southerly winds around 10-15 knots continue
this afternoon with occasional gusts to around 20 knots. Light
winds return overnight. /14
&&
.NEAR TERM...
(Now through Wednesday)
Issued at 1226 PM CDT Tue Apr 16 2024
Dry and quiet weather prevails across the forecast area through
Wednesday. Upper ridging over our area today gradually gives way to
more zonal flow aloft as a trough works its way across the Midwest
states Wednesday. Given how far removed the trough is from us, not
expecting anything more than a perhaps a sprinkle or two over far
interior portions of southeastern Mississippi into interior
southwestern Alabama Wednesday afternoon. Despite increased cloud
cover today and Wednesday, it will remain warm with highs generally
in the upper 70`s to lower 80`s, with a few spots touching the
middle 80`s each day. Overnight lows will be warm, with temperatures
only falling into the lower to middle 60`s. A low risk of rip
currents this morning becomes a moderate risk of rip currents this
evening, lasting through at least Wednesday. MM/25
SHORT/LONG TERM...
(Wednesday night through Monday)
Issued at 439 AM CDT Tue Apr 16 2024
Upper ridging over the Gulf will maintain a zonal flow over the
region and help to deflect systems north of the central Gulf
coast. At the surface, high pressure centered over the western
Atlantic off the Florida east coast ridges back toward the west
and across our area through late week. This will maintain a mostly
onshore low level flow across our area this week, with moisture
gradually increasing, but little if any precipitation is expected
through the week. With the increased low level moisture, some
patchy late night fog is possible at times this week. The upper
ridging weakens this weekend as a weak front moves into the area.
The approaching front along with weaker upper ridging will allow
for increased rain chances over the weekend (30-50%). Rain chances
end by early next week as the front moves east of the area and
drier air moves in. Warm temperatures expected through most of the
week with highs in the 80s and lows in the 60s. By the end of the
forecast period look for a slight cool down, with highs mainly in
the 70s Sunday and Monday. Sunday night lows will be cooler as
well, mainly in the 50s. /13
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile 65 81 65 82 66 86 66 84 / 0 0 0 10 0 0 0 10
Pensacola 66 79 67 79 67 82 67 81 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10
Destin 66 77 67 78 68 80 68 80 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10
Evergreen 61 84 62 85 63 89 62 86 / 0 0 0 10 0 10 0 20
Waynesboro 65 82 64 84 64 88 63 84 / 0 10 0 20 10 10 10 30
Camden 62 81 63 83 64 88 63 83 / 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 30
Crestview 61 82 61 85 62 88 61 86 / 0 0 0 10 0 0 0 10
&&
.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
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