Text Products for FWS Issued by OAX

Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
000
FNUS73 KOAX 241229
FWSOAX

Spot Forecast for Winnebago CRP Rx...BIA Winnebago Agency
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
729 AM CDT Wed Apr 24 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CDT on April 24.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Calm northerly winds this morning will gradually shift to
southeasterly by 9am. Winds will increase through the late
morning to speeds of 8 to 10 mph with gusts up to 12 mph possible.
Winds will remain at this speed throughout the afternoon and into
the evening. Relative humidity values will decrease throughout
the afternoon before reaching their minimum value of 24 percent
around 5-6 pm. Relative humidity will recover overnight.

Cloud cover will increase throughout the day with high
temperatures reaching into the upper 60s. A few sprinkles or light
rain showers will be possible tonight.


Strongest Possible Wind Speeds on Day of Burn: 13 mph

Lowest Possible Relative Humidity on Day of Burn: 24%

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 67.
Min humidity........28 percent.
Eye level winds.....Light winds becoming southeast up to 5 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Surface winds (mph).Light winds becoming southeast 6 to 9 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 8 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......5800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 9 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (5900 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (40600 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
GFDI................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........41  11  4   2   13  36  35  44  47
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............45  52  56  59  62  64  65  66  67
RH..............73  57  47  41  37  32  30  28  28
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..4   5   5   5   5   5   5   6   7
20 FT wind gust.6   6   6   6   6   6   6   7   10
Eye lvl wnd dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Eye lvl wnd spd.3   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   5
Eye lvl wnd gst.4   5                   5   5   7
Surface wnd dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Surface wnd spd.5   6   6   6   6   6   6   8   9
Surface wnd gst.7   8   7   7   7   7   8   9   12
Mix hgt (kft)...1.1 1.8 3.7 5.1 5.4 5.6 5.8 5.7 5.5
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S
Transp wind spd.6   6   6   5   5   6   6   8   9
GFDI............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
SDspl kt-ft/10007   10  15  21  27  34  39  41  36

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
                    sprinkles late in the evening.
Min temperature.....Around 49.
Max humidity........68 percent.
Eye level winds.....Southeast winds 5 to 8 mph.
Surface winds (mph).Southeast winds 9 to 14 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 8 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 17 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (27400 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (4600 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
GFDI................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........40     62     87     83     86     74
Weather cov.....              CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............66     62     56     55     53     50
RH..............27     33     43     46     53     60
20 ft wind......SE 7   SE 7   SE 7   SE 8   SE 9   SE 10
20 ft wind gust.10                   10     12     14
Eye level wind..SE 5   SE 5   SE 5   SE 6   SE 7   SE 8
Eye lvl wnd gst.7                    8      9      10
Surface wind....SE 9   SE 9   SE 9   SE 10  SE 11  SE 13
Surface wnd gst.12                   13     15     17
Mix hgt (ft)....5200   500    500    500    600    600
Transport wind..S 12   SE 10  SE 13  SE 16  SE 16  SE 17
GFDI............1      1      0      1      1      1
Haines index....4      4      4      4      4      4
SDspl kt-ft/100027     13     5      7      9      10

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers in the morning. Chance of rain
                    showers in the afternoon. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 67.
Min humidity........48 percent.
Eye level winds.....Southeast winds 8 to 14 mph. Gusts up to 38
                    mph.
Surface winds (mph).Southeast winds 13 to 24 mph. Gusts up to 38
                    mph.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 12 to 21 mph. Gusts up to 38
                    mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 18 to 26 mph increasing to 28 to 31
                    mph late in the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (8600 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (72000 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
GFDI................3.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........78     78     67     66     74     79
Weather cov.....       S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                                   S CHC
Temp............50     51     56     61     64     64
RH..............63     66     59     51     48     49
20 ft wind......SE 11  SE 13  SE 16  SE 17  SE 19  SE 19
20 ft wind gust.14     18     23     26     29     30
Eye level wind..SE 8   SE 10  SE 12  SE 13  SE 14  SE 14
Eye lvl wnd gst.11     14     17     20     22     23
Surface wind....SE 14  SE 16  SE 20  SE 21  SE 24  SE 24
Surface wnd gst.18     23     29     33     36     38
Mix hgt (ft)....600    900    1700   2600   2100   2600
Transport wind..SE 18  SE 21  SE 26  SE 29  SE 30  SE 31
GFDI............1      1      2      3      3      4
Haines index....4      4      4      4      3      3
SDspl kt-ft/10009      20     39     58     70     72

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...
Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows around 50. Highs in the
lower 70s. Southeast winds around 24 mph.
.SATURDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows
in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper 60s. South winds around
17 mph.
.SUNDAY...
Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows around 50. Highs in the
lower 60s. Northeast winds around 13 mph.

$$
Forecaster...Nicolaisen
Requested by...Duwayne RXB2
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412192.0/OAX
.DELDT 04/24/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL duwayne.traversie@bia.gov
National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office
