Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX
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366 FXUS64 KSJT 290507 AFDSJT Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Angelo TX 1207 AM CDT Mon Apr 29 2024 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (This evening through Monday) Issued at 113 PM CDT Sun Apr 28 2024 A quiet weather pattern is expected through the next 24 hours, with temperatures above seasonal normals. Overnight low temperatures will be in the mid to upper 50s. Stratus development is expected across the Hill Country, with some of this cloud cover approaching our southeast counties by daybreak. Any cloud cover will quickly dissipate by mid morning. Highs on Monday will be above seasonal normals, in the mid 80s to near 90. Expect generally dry conditions && .LONG TERM... (Monday night through next Sunday) Issued at 149 PM CDT Sun Apr 28 2024 A somewhat zonal flow will prevail across the southern tier of the country Monday but low to mid level moisture is expected to increase across southern portions of the CWA Mon night. This will provide more humid conditions across west central Texas Tuesday with southerly winds prevailing. A weak shortwave trough will move across northwest Texas Tues night and this will provide isolated strong to severe thunderstorms across extreme northern portions of the CWA where SPC has a marginal risk of severe weather for day 3 across northern portions of Haskell and Throckmorton counties. An unsettled weather pattern is expected to continue Wednesday into Thursday with a 500mb trough across the western United States Wednesday moving eastward across the Rockies on Thursday. The dryline across west Texas will provide a focus for showers and thunderstorms to develop and move eastward into portions of west central Texas Wed night through Thursday night. A weak cold front is expected to move through northwest Texas Thurs night and through our CWA Friday morning. The ECMWF progs some elevated convection developing Fri night so will mention a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms mainly for early Friday morning and late Fri night. The global models are currently showing better rain chances for the weekend as low to mid level moisture increases across most of the state of Texas Saturday into Sunday and a shortwave upper level trough moves across the southern plains Sat night into Sunday. This will provide a chance of showers and thunderstorms across west central Texas through the && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1205 AM CDT Mon Apr 29 2024 VFR conditions currently present across the area with light and variable winds. Scattered low clouds are expected to build west overnight, primarily impacting the KJCT and KBBD terminals. Have included some TEMPO groups to account for some uncertainty in ceiling coverage and potential visibility reductions. Any drops in ceilings/visibilities will lift to VFR by mid morning with VFR conditions expected for the rest of the afternoon. Winds will generally be out of the south/southwest this afternoon at less than 10 kts before backing to the southeast and picking up at some sites late in the period. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Abilene 87 62 90 67 / 0 0 10 10 San Angelo 90 62 92 66 / 0 0 0 10 Junction 91 65 93 68 / 0 0 0 10 Brownwood 86 62 87 67 / 0 0 0 10 Sweetwater 87 63 91 66 / 0 0 10 10 Ozona 88 64 88 68 / 0 0 0 10 Brady 86 63 88 68 / 0 0 0 10 && .SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...Daniels LONG TERM....61 AVIATION...50