Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FXUS64 KTSA 241731
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1231 PM CDT Tue Apr 24 2018

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
Clouds will be on the increase ahead of the next frontal system
but MVFR ceilings aren`t expected until the start of the
precipitation. Latest short term guidance and surface obs suggest
that rain isn`t likely at any sites until after midnight. There
will likely be lower ceilings once the precip rates pick up
tomorrow morning, and IFR ceilings are possible at KBVO/KTUL/KRVS
before the end of this forecast period. Will keep ceilings at the
AR terminals higher as the rain will not likely start until mid
morning on Wednesday.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 1033 AM CDT Tue Apr 24 2018/

DISCUSSION...
Latest surface analysis places the cold front from central Kansas
through the northern TX panhandle. This boundary will make
southward progress through the afternoon and eventually into
eastern Oklahoma by tonight.

Great day in progress, with warm temperatures in the mid 60s to
lower 70s as of mid morning. Forecast looks to be in great shape.
Only change will be to delay the onset of showers til after
midnight for most locations. There may be some lightning, but the
instability looks quite minimal, so most areas will just receive
some beneficial rain on Wednesday.

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$


LONG TERM....10
AVIATION.....06



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