Flood Potential Outlook
Issued by NWS Charleston, WV

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FGUS71 KRLX 151420

Winter/Spring Flood Potential Outlook
National Weather Service Charleston WV
1020 AM EDT Thu Mar 15 2018

...The flood potential is expected to be above normal into early

The flood potential for the next two weeks will be considered
above normal for the streams in the Charleston Hydrologic Service
Area (HSA). An above normal flood potential means flooding could
occur with water levels having significant impacts.

Flood Outlooks are issued biweekly by the National Weather
Service in the winter and early spring to summarize basin hydro
meteorological conditions and to assess the potential for spring
flooding. The outlooks are based on current and expected
conditions...realizing that actual conditions may change during
the outlook period.

Factors to consider when assessing flood potential are:

Water content of the snowpack...the wetness of the
soils...widespread heavy rainfall...high streamflows...and
reservoir levels and ice coverage on the rivers.

Precipitation was above normal for the past 30 days over much of
the HSA.

Soil Conditions...
Soils are saturated. This can cause efficient runoff from any
future rain.

Snow Cover and Snow Water Equivalent...
In the West Virginia Mountains, there is a 4 to 12 inch swath
snow with localized areas of 12 to 25 inches in the highest
elevations. Snow water equivalents are between 2 to 4 inches on
average. Locally higher in the highest snowpack.

Reservoirs Capacity...
Reservoir levels are slightly above normal to normal for this
time of year.

River Ice Conditions...

River Flows...
River flows on rivers are expected to be slightly above normal
into early spring.

The Hydrologic Outlook through the next two weeks...
Our active weather pattern is expected to diminish slightly over
the next week or two with drier air moving into the area.
Temperatures are expected to average near normal or slightly
above normal into early spring.

Real time river information and forecasts for specific locations
along rivers across Eastern Kentucky...Southeast Ohio...Buchanan
and Dickenson counties in Southwest Virginia and much of West
Virginia can be found at:


or at

and click on the 90-day river outlook on the left hand side of
the page. Click on FLOOD CHC VS NORMAL to view the risk of
flooding with respect to normal.

Rainfall is the primary factor leading to flooding. Heavy or
excessive rainfall can cause flooding any time of the year even
where the flood potential is below normal.


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