591
FNUS75 KGJT 071536
FWSGJT

Spot Forecast for Carpenter Ridge RX...Bureau of Land Management
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
936 AM MDT Tue May 7 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 MDT on May 07.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...A cold front dropping through the area today will push
strong, gusty winds in front of it. Gusts up to 40 mph expected, and
gusts up to 50 mph possible. Winds will decrease tonight in the wake
of the front, with much lighter northerly winds for tomorrow. Lighter
winds will remain through the end of the week. An area of low pressure
will develop to our west by the end of the week, with increasing
southerly flow aloft, increasing moisture, and warming temperatures.
Chances of precipitation return to the fire location from Friday on.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....47-53.
Min humidity........20-25 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Windy. West winds 26-30 mph, becoming northwest
after 1400. Gusts up to 40 mph possible in the
afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good increasing to Excellent by 1000.
Haines Index........4 or low.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL increasing to 10000 ft AGL by 1500.
Transport winds.....West 38 mph.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Min temperature.....21-26.
Max humidity........51-56 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Windy. Northwest winds 26-30 mph decreasing to 16-20
mph by 2400, and to 8-12 mph by 0400.Gusts up to 30
mph possible through 2400.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent decreasing to very good by 1900, to good
by 2000, to fair by 2100, and to poor (4000-20000
knot-ft) by 2200.
Haines Index........3 or very low.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......6200 ft AGL decreasing to 600 ft AGL by 2300.
Transport winds.....Northwest 32 mph decreasing to 20 mph
                    overnight.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....45-50.
Min humidity........17-22 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 8-12 mph becoming southeast by 0800,
and east winds by 1000. Becoming north and increasing
to 14-18 mph after 1200.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4000-30000 knot-ft) increasing to fair by
1000, and to good by 1200.
Haines Index........3 or very low.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL increasing to 8100 ft AGL by 1500.
Transport winds.....North 13 mph.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...
Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the upper 50s.
North winds 12-16 mph.
.FRIDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the
mid 30s. Highs in the upper 50s. Northeast winds 10-14 mph.
.SATURDAY...
Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the upper 30s. Highs in the mid 60s. North winds 8-12 mph, gusts
up to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the upper 60s.
.MONDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the lower 70s.

$$
Forecaster...Brianna Bealo
Requested by...John Wroblewski
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2413344.0/GJT
.DELDT 05/07/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Jwroblewski@blm.gov