Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Twin Cities, MN

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000
FNUS73 KMPX 261355
FWSMPX

Spot Forecast for Edwards NE...USFWS
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
855 AM CDT Sat May 26 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on May 26.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Mostly sunny and hot today. Winds will be
westerly around 10 mph with occasional higher gusts. RH values will
bottom out around 25 percent this afternoon.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Temperature.........79 at ignition...Max 94.
RH..................47 percent at ignition...Min 25 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds west at 5 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    West winds 5 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......1200 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 1200 ft AGL
                    increasing to 9700-11000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 9 to 15 mph.
Mixing winds........West 9 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor /9800 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...good
                    /39600 knot-ft/ increasing to excellent (106500
                    knot-ft).
Haines Index........6 or high at ignition...max 6.

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
Temp............79  84  87  89  91  92  93  94  94
RH..............47  38  32  30  29  28  26  25  25
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..5   6   6   7   7   7   8   7   6
20 FT wind gust.        10  10  10  15  15  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...1.2 4.4 7.6 11  11  11  11  10  9.7
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.9   10  13  15  15  15  15  14  13
Mixing wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Mixing wind spd.9   10  13  15  15  15  15  14  13
Haines index....6   6   5   5   5   6   6   6   6
SDspl kt-ft/100010  40  83  140 141 142 143 124 107

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Temperature.........Min 66.
RH..................Max 68 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph
                    early in the morning.
Mixing height.......9000 ft AGL decreasing to 300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing winds........Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good to excellent (42700-81200 knot-ft)
                    decreasing to poor to fair (1000-15900 knot-ft)
                    early in the evening.

TIME (CDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
Temp............92     83     75     71     68     66
RH..............28     37     48     53     59     65
20 ft wind......W 4    SW 3   S 3    SE 3   SE 4   SE 4
20 ft wind gust.10     5      5      5      5      5
Mix hgt (ft)....9000   3200   300    300    300    300
Transport wind..W 10   SW 6   S 5    SE 7   SE 8   SE 9
Mixing wind.....W 10   SW 6   S 5    SE 7   SE 8   SE 9
Haines index....6      6      6      5      4      4
SDspl kt-ft/100081     16     1      2      2      2

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny.
Temperature.........Max 97.
RH..................Min 28 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......300-600 ft AGL increasing to 8700-9900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 9 to 17 mph shifting to the southwest 20
                    to 21 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing winds........South 9 to 17 mph shifting to the southwest 20
                    to 21 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good (2000-44300 knot-ft) increasing to
                    excellent (113500 knot-ft).
Haines Index........5 to 6 or moderate to or high.

TIME (CDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Temp............68     75     84     92     96     97
RH..............63     58     44     33     29     29
20 ft wind......SE 4   S 5    S 6    S 8    S 10   S 10
20 ft wind gust.5             10     15     15     15
Mix hgt (ft)....300    500    2500   6400   8700   9300
Transport wind..SE 9   S 14   S 14   S 10   S 15   SW 20
Mixing wind.....SE 9   S 14   S 14   S 10   S 15   SW 20
Haines index....5      5      5      6      6      6
SDspl kt-ft/10002      5      30     57     114    158

$$
Forecaster...CALDERONE
Requested by...Millette
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1810676.0/MPX
.EMAIL phil_millette@fws.gov



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