752
FNUS53 KAPX 080743
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
343 AM EDT Wed May 8 2024

...Periods of wet weather continue...

.DISCUSSION...Most numerous rain showers continue this
morning near and north of M-72. By and large, precipitation-free
conditions return this afternoon through tonight, although some low
chances for a few additional isolated showers do exist. Low pressure
is expected to trek through the Ohio Valley on Thursday, perhaps
brining a bit more rain to southern areas, although latest trends
suggest much of that precipitation passes through southern Michigan.
No RH concerns through Thursday with occasionally gusty winds this
afternoon out of the west-northwest and out of the northeast Thursday
afternoon.

MIZ016-017-021>023-099-082015-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
343 AM EDT Wed May 8 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Patchy fog until
                    1200. Chance of rain showers and slight chance
                    of thunderstorms until 1200, then slight chance
                    of rain showers.
Max Temperature.....57-62...except 49-54 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......12 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........53-58 percent.
   24 HR Trend......31 percent wetter...except 44 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (297).
Mixing Height.......2800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 15 mph shifting to the north around
                    12 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.06- 0.13 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
Min Temperature.....41-46.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent...except 81-86 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 10 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (27).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent).
Max Temperature.....56-61...except 48-53 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........45-50 percent.
   24 HR Trend......18 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph in the morning
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (742).
Mixing Height.......4500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-082015-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
343 AM EDT Wed May 8 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Becoming partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms
                    until 1200, then slight chance of rain showers.
Max Temperature.....66-71...except 47-52 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler...except 4 degrees cooler near
                    the coast.
Min Humidity........38-43 percent.
   24 HR Trend......25 percent wetter...except 16 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (488).
Mixing Height.......2600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 15 mph shifting to the north around
                    18 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.12 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers until 2400.
Min Temperature.....41-46.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent...except 81-86 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (26).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent).
Max Temperature.....56-61...except 48-53 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........45-50 percent.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph in the morning
                    becoming light. Gusts up to 25 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (609).
Mixing Height.......3500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in .


$$

MIZ020-025>027-082015-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
343 AM EDT Wed May 8 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Patchy fog until
                    1200. Chance of rain showers until 1200.
Max Temperature.....59-64...except 44-49 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler...except 14 degrees cooler
                    near the coast.
Min Humidity........46-51 percent.
   24 HR Trend......33 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 10 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (365).
Mixing Height.......2400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.15 in .

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
Min Temperature.....41-46.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........92-97 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 10 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (30).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent).
Max Temperature.....57-62...except around 50 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........47-52 percent.
   24 HR Trend......12 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph in the morning
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (744).
Mixing Height.......4300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .


$$

MIZ031>033-082015-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
343 AM EDT Wed May 8 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Becoming partly sunny (60-70 percent).
Max Temperature.....61-66...except 50-55 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler...except 13 degrees cooler
                    near the coast.
Min Humidity........43-48 percent...except 54-59 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......13 percent wetter...except 31 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (590).
Mixing Height.......3300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
Min Temperature.....42-47.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 10 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (46).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.08 in .

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....56-61.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler...except 2 degrees warmer near
                    the coast.
Min Humidity........49-54 percent.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent wetter...except unchanged along the
                    coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph in the morning
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (739).
Mixing Height.......4600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.10 in .


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-082015-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
343 AM EDT Wed May 8 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Becoming partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms
                    until 1200.
Max Temperature.....66-71.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........38-43 percent.
   24 HR Trend......20 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (744).
Mixing Height.......3600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 18 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.09 in .

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent).
Min Temperature.....42-47.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 10 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (38).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in .

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
Max Temperature.....55-60.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........45-50 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph in the morning
                    becoming light. Gusts up to 25 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (807).
Mixing Height.......4600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.10 in .


$$

.EXTENDED...

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS AROUND 70. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

$$

MJG