Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Binghamton, NY

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961
FNUS51 KBGM 041931
FWFBGM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Central NY/Northeast PA
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
330 PM EDT Sat May 4 2024

.SYNOPSIS...

Showers will move northward into the region tonight ahead of a
warm front to our south. Showers will end by Monday with high
pressure building into the region. However, after a brief break
Tuesday additional low pressure will bring additional showers
through the end of next week.


NYZ210-050800-
Leatherstocking-
330 PM EDT Sat May 4 2024

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Showers      Showers      Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     80           90           50           20
Temp (24h trend)      45 (-3)      56 (-9)      50           71
RH % (24h trend)      100 (0)      75 (+44)     100          44
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)               SE 12-16 G26              W 4-8
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)  S 9-13 G21   S 12-16 G25  S 8-12 G21   NW 6-10
Precip Amount         0.17         0.35         0.07         0.01
Precip Duration       5            12           2            1
Precip Begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   2 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             1640                      3300
Transport Wnd (mph)                S 21                      NW 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  43710                     40660
DSI                   2            1            1            2
Sunshine Hours                     1                         6
LAL                   No tstms     No tstms     No tstms     No tstms
Haines Index          3            3            3            3
ADI early             39 Fair      37 Fair      26 Fair      19 Gen Poor
ADI late              22 Fair      38 Fair      10 Poor      37 Fair
Max LVORI early       4            4            6            6
Max LVORI late        4            4            8            3

Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the lower
70s. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 70s.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper 60s.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southeast winds around
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows around 50. Highs in the lower 60s. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the upper
50s. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. West winds around
15 mph.

$$

PAZ038-039-043-050800-
Bradford-Susquehanna-Wyoming-
Including the cities of Sayre, Towanda, Hallstead, Montrose,
and Tunkhannock
330 PM EDT Sat May 4 2024

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Cloudy       Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Showers      Showers      Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     80           90           60           20
Temp (24h trend)      44 (-4)      57 (-4)      52           73
RH % (24h trend)      100 (+14)    75 (+34)     100          46
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)               SE 11-15 G20              W 3-7
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)  S 9-13       S 11-15 G20  S 6-10       NW 4-8
Precip Amount         0.20         0.28         0.06         0.01
Precip Duration       10           12           3            1
Precip Begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             1610                      3830
Transport Wnd (mph)                S 21                      NW  9
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  35620                     35960
DSI                   1            1            1            2
Sunshine Hours                     1                         4
LAL                   No tstms     No tstms     No tstms     No tstms
Haines Index          3            3            3            3
ADI early             41 Gen Good  34 Fair      21 Fair      23 Fair
ADI late              22 Fair      34 Fair      6 Very Poor  40 Fair
Max LVORI early       4            4            6            7
Max LVORI late        5            4            8            3

Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. A slight chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the mid 70s. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 70s.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
mid 50s. Highs around 70. Chance of precipitation 80 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 60s.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs around 60.
Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Northwest winds around
15 mph.

$$

PAZ044-047-050800-
Lackawanna-Luzerne-
Including the cities of Scranton, Hazleton, and Wilkes-Barre
330 PM EDT Sat May 4 2024

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Cloudy       Cloudy       Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Showers      Showers      Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     80           90           70           20
Temp (24h trend)      45 (-1)      57 (-2)      52           74
RH % (24h trend)      96 (+3)      74 (+31)     100          48
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)               SE 8-12 G18               Lgt/Var
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)  SE 8-12 G17  SE 8-12 G18  S 4-8        NW 4-8
Precip Amount         0.17         0.33         0.09         0.01
Precip Duration       9            12           3            1
Precip Begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             1470                      3550
Transport Wnd (mph)                SE 20                     NW  9
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  29610                     37290
DSI                   1            1            1            2
Sunshine Hours                     1                         4
LAL                   No tstms     No tstms     No tstms     1-8 strikes
Haines Index          3            3            3            3
ADI early             32 Fair      33 Fair      17 Gen Poor  17 Gen Poor
ADI late              19 Gen Poor  32 Fair      7 Poor       33 Fair
Max LVORI early       4            4            6            6
Max LVORI late        4            4            8            3

Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. A slight chance of showers. Lows around
50. Highs in the upper 70s. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 70s.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
mid 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. Chance of precipitation
80 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 60s. West
winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers. Lows
in the upper 40s. Highs in the lower 60s. Northwest winds around
10 mph.

$$

PAZ040-048-072-050800-
Northern Wayne-Pike-Southern Wayne-
Including the cities of Damascus, Equinunk, Milford,
and Honesdale
330 PM EDT Sat May 4 2024

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Cloudy       Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Showers      Showers      Showers      Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     70           90           70           20
Temp (24h trend)      44 (0)       52 (-8)      49           72
RH % (24h trend)      100 (+7)     77 (+30)     100          53
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)               SE 7-11 G18               Lgt/Var
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)  SE 7-11      SE 8-12 G18  SE 4-8       NW 5-9
Precip Amount         0.15         0.32         0.11         0.01
Precip Duration       6            12           3            1
Precip Begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             1470                      3730
Transport Wnd (mph)                SE 20                     NW 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  32380                     40050
DSI                   1            1            1            2
Sunshine Hours                     1                         4
LAL                   No tstms     No tstms     No tstms     1-8 strikes
Haines Index          3            3            3            3
ADI early             40 Fair      34 Fair      19 Gen Poor  23 Fair
ADI late              17 Gen Poor  32 Fair      5 Very Poor  38 Fair
Max LVORI early       4            5            6            7
Max LVORI late        5            4            9            3

Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. A slight chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the mid 70s. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. Chance
of precipitation 70 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 60s. Chance of precipitation
80 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 60s.
Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers. Lows
in the mid 40s. Highs in the upper 50s. West winds around 10 mph.

$$