Text Products for FWS Issued by BGM

Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Binghamton, NY
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FNUS71 KBGM 221634
FWSBGM

Spot Forecast for SGL 236 Grass...PA Game Commission
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
1234 PM EDT Mon Apr 22 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0500 EDT on April 23.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
After a rather dry day today (Monday), with RH values dropping to
around 25 percent, increasing southerly flow will bring a modest
increase in moisture to the region on Tuesday, along with warmer
temperatures. Temperatures will reach the 60s, with RH values
dropping into the mid-30s. Winds will be on the breezy side in
the afternoon, gusting 25 to 30 mph at times. Rain showers will
arrive Tuesday night.


.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Temperature.........34 at ignition...Min 34.
RH..................61 percent at ignition...Max 66 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Winds south at 6 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    South winds around 7 mph.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 8 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth at ignition...max 4.
SUNRISE.............
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................4.

TIME (EDT)      5AM
Sky (%).........18
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0
LAL.............1
Temp............34
RH..............61
20 FT wind dir..S
20 FT wind spd..6
20 FT wind gust.9
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4
Transp wind dir.S
Transp wind spd.8
LVORI...........3
ADI.............4
Haines index....4

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Temperature.........Max 60.
RH..................Min 36 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......South winds 7 to 16 mph shifting to the
                    southwest around 17 mph with gusts to around 30
                    mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......6400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 9 to 18 mph increasing to southwest 21 to
                    26 mph late in the morning.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
SUNSET..............
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................3 early in the morning increasing to 122 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........22  27  31  28  25  22  21  21  20  25  30  35
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............35  35  41  46  50  53  55  58  59  59  60  60
RH..............61  61  59  49  46  43  41  40  37  37  37  36
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  S   S   S   SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   8   12  14  16  16  16  18  18  18
20 FT wind gust.8   8   9   13  17  23  25  26  26  29  30  30
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.3 0.7 1.8 3.2 4.4 5.0 5.4 5.6 6.1 6.4 6.0
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.9   10  13  15  18  21  22  23  23  25  26  26
LVORI...........3   3   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............3   5   13  33  58  80  90  96  100 113 122 118
Haines index....4   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers overnight. Chance of rain showers
                    after 3 am, then rain showers likely after 3
                    am.
CWR.................0 percent increasing to 70 percent overnight.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Temperature.........Min 44.
RH..................Max 96 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......South winds 13 to 16 mph. Gusts up to 28 mph in
                    the evening.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 24 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
SUNRISE.............
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................88 early in the evening decreasing to 6 late in
                    the night.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM      9 PM      MIDNGT    3 AM
Sky (%).........47        75        88        94
Weather cov.....                              CHANCE
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0         0         0         70
LAL.............1         1         1         1
Temp............59        51        48        44
RH..............40        56        68        83
20 FT wind......SW 17G28  S 14G20   S 12G18   S 9G14
Mix hgt (ft)....4400      300       900       800
Transport wind..SW 24     SW 16     S 16      S 17
LVORI...........1         3         3         4
ADI.............88        6         14        14
Haines index....4         4         4         4

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Rain showers
                    early in the morning, then rain showers likely
                    early in the morning. Chance of rain showers
                    late in the afternoon.
CWR.................74 percent decreasing to 0 percent late in the
                    afternoon.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Temperature.........Max 52.
RH..................Min 67 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Southwest winds 14 to 16 mph shifting to the
                    northwest 16 to 22 mph in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......3500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 16 to 17 mph shifting to the northwest 18
                    to 22 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
SUNSET..............
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................19 early in the morning increasing to 71 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM         10 AM        2 PM
Sky (%).........88           73           72
Weather cov.....DEFNTE       LIKELY       CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR       RNSHWR       RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
CWR.............70           70           0
LAL.............1            1            1
Temp............44           46           48
RH..............93           89           77
20 FT wind......SW 12G17     W 15G23      NW 18G28
Mix hgt (ft)....1100         2200         3400
Transport wind..SW 16        NW 18        NW 21
LVORI...........5            4            3
ADI.............19           39           53
Haines index....4            3            3

$$
Forecaster...Hardiman
Requested by...Brian Williamson
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2411749.0/BGM
.DELDT 04/22/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL brianwilli@pa.gov
National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office
