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000
FNUS71 KCTP 230715
FWSCTP

Spot Forecast for 075...PGC
National Weather Service State College PA
315 AM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on April 23.

If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast, contact the National Weather Service
in State College.

.DISCUSSION...
Low humidity (25-35% minRH) and breezy conditions (20-30 mph wind
gusts from the south) could result in an elevated risk of wildfire
spread this afternoon.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent).
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max Temperature.....Around 62.
Min Humidity........29 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing Height.......6600 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....South 10 to 15 mph increasing to southwest 20
                    to 25 mph late in the morning.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................62 to 90.

TIME (EDT)          9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)...........  58  55  52  49  45  42  48  54  60
Weather Cov.......
Weather Type......
Tstm Cov..........
LAL...............  1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp..............  43  48  53  55  58  59  61  61  61
RH................  53  47  39  38  33  32  29  31  32
20 FT Wind Dir....  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT Wind Spd....  7   10  11  13  14  15  15  14  14
20 FT Wind Gust...  11  16  18  18  19  20  21  20  20
Mix Hgt (kft).....  1.0 1.9 4.3 4.9 5.4 5.7 6.1 6.5 6.6
Transp Wind Dir...  S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp Wind Spd...  12  16  22  23  25  24  25  26  25
LVORI.............  2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI...............  62  62  62  80  80  80  90  90  90
Haines Index......  4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain showers
                    likely overnight.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min Temperature.....Around 44.
Max Humidity........89 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Mixing Height.......600 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 25 mph.
Haines Index........3 to 5 or very low to moderate potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................13 to 29.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%)...........  66  72  78  82  85  89  93  96  100 97  95  92
Weather Cov.......          SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather Type......          RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm Cov..........
LAL...............  1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp..............  60  58  55  54  52  50  50  48  48  47  46  46
RH................  36  40  49  52  56  63  66  74  77  83  86  89
20 FT Wind Dir....  SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW
20 FT Wind Spd....  13  11  10  9   9   9   9   9   9   10  9   9
20 FT Wind Gust...  18  17  14  13  13  12  12  12  14  14  13  14
Mix Hgt (kft).....  5.0 0.9 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9
Transp Wind Dir...  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp Wind Spd...  22  15  14  14  14  15  14  14  15  16  15  15
LVORI.............  2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   4   4   4   5
ADI...............  29  29  29  13  13  13  13  13  13  14  14  14
Haines Index......  4   4   5   5   5   5   5   5   3   3   3   3

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain showers
                    likely in the morning and early afternoon, then
                    chance of rain showers late in the afternoon.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max Temperature.....Around 51.
Min Humidity........58 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 10 mph shifting to the northwest
                    in the afternoon.
Mixing Height.......3100 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....West 15 to 20 mph shifting to the northwest 20
                    to 25 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................36 to 58.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)...........  89  87  84  84  83  83  83  83  82  78  73  69
Weather Cov.......  LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather Type......  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm Cov..........
LAL...............  1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp..............  45  45  47  47  48  49  49  49  50  49  48  48
RH................  93  93  86  86  80  74  74  71  68  66  63  58
20 FT Wind Dir....  W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N
20 FT Wind Spd....  9   9   10  10  10  11  11  12  12  12  13  13
20 FT Wind Gust...  13  14  16  14  16  16  17  17  17  18  18  18
Mix Hgt (kft).....  1.0 1.2 2.1 2.6 2.9 3.1 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.9 2.9 2.8
Transp Wind Dir...  W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N
Transp Wind Spd...  14  16  18  24  24  24  22  21  18  18  18  18
LVORI.............  5   5   4   4   3   3   3   3   1   1   1   1
ADI...............  36  36  36  58  58  58  54  54  54  44  44  44
Haines Index......  3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

$$
Forecaster...Steinbugl
Requested by...PGC
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2411821.0/CTP
.DELDT 04/23/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Mattwall@pa.gov