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000
FNUS73 KDLH 111734
FWSDLH

Spot Forecast for Fernberg Tower...US Forest Service
National Weather Service Duluth MN
1234 PM CDT Thu Apr 11 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1300 CDT on April 11.
If there are questions or concerns with this forecast, or if
conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National
Weather Service in Duluth at 218-729-0653.

.DISCUSSION...

More shower activity is expected this afternoon and evening, with
a thunderstorm possible. Gusty and erratic winds are possible
around showers and storms. RH values should stay above 40 percent
this afternoon, with the lowest values on south facing and exposed
slopes. Rainfall amounts with storms will be spotty in nature,
with locations receiving rainfall getting less than a tenth of an
inch, while other locations remain dry.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Isolated rain
                    showers early in the afternoon. Isolated
                    thunderstorms early in the afternoon. Scattered
                    rain showers late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
LAL.................2 until 1600, then 1.
Max temperature.....Around 57.
Min humidity........45 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 6 to 8 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......4900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 12 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (42100-57800 knot-ft).
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.06 inches.

TIME (CDT)      1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Sky cover.......MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
Weather cov.....ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........ISOLTD ISOLTD
Chc of pcpn (%).20     30     30
LAL.............2      2      1
Temp............53     57     54
RH..............59     47     48
20 ft wind......N 8    N 8    NW 9
20 ft wind gust.12     14     14
Mix hgt (ft)....4400   4800   3200
Transport wind..N 12   N 14   N 15
Haines index....4      4      4
SDspl kt-ft/100044     58     42

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Isolated rain
                    showers in the evening. Isolated thunderstorms
                    early in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................1 until 1900, then 2 until 2200, then 1.
Min temperature.....Around 35.
Max humidity........92 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 8 to 10 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    evening.
Mixing height.......2600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 12 to 17 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (35900 knot-ft) decreasing to poor to fair
                    (9400-15600 knot-ft).
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.06 inches.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky cover.......MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
Weather cov.....ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........       ISOLTD
Chc of pcpn (%).20     20     20     10     10     10
LAL.............1      2      1      1      1      1
Temp............53     47     44     40     38     37
RH..............50     63     70     79     85     85
20 ft wind......NW 9   NW 8   NW 8   NW 8   NW 8   NW 8
20 ft wind gust.14     14     14     14     15     16
Mix hgt (ft)....2600   1200   900    800    800    900
Transport wind..N 16   N 12   N 15   N 16   N 16   N 17
Haines index....4      4      4      4      3      3
SDspl kt-ft/100036     12     12     11     11     14

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 47.
Min humidity........45 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 10 to 14 mph.
Mixing height.......2800 ft AGL increasing to 3900 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest 17 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair to good (14500-33300 knot-ft) increasing
                    to excellent (75200-86500 knot-ft).
Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky cover.......MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  PCLDY
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............35     37     39     43     45     46
RH..............92     85     79     62     53     47
20 ft wind......NW 8   NW 9   NW 11  NW 13  NW 13  NW 13
20 ft wind gust.16     18     19     21     21     21
Mix hgt (ft)....1000   1500   2400   2800   3800   3900
Transport wind..N 17   N 21   NW 23  NW 24  NW 24  NW 25
Haines index....3      3      3      3      2      2
SDspl kt-ft/100015     27     48     60     79     87

$$
Forecaster...Linda
Requested by...Jamie Chopp
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2410385.0/DLH
.DELDT 04/11/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jamie.chopp@usda.gov