913
FXXX01 KWNP 122201
DAYDSF

:Product: Daily Space Weather Summary and Forcast daydsf.txt
:Issued: 2024 May 12 2200 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html
#
#            Daily Space Weather Summary and Forecast.
#
:Solar_Analysis:
Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 11/2100Z to
12/2100Z: Solar activity has been at high levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a X1 event observed at
12/1626Z from Region 3664 (S19W75). There are currently 12 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
#
:Solar_Forecast:
Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be high on
days one and two (13 May, 14 May) and expected to be low with a slight
chance for an M-class flare on day three (15 May).

#
:Geophysical_Activity:
Geophysical Activity Summary 11/2100Z to 12/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at unsettled to severe storm levels for the past 24
hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 1005 km/s at 12/0055Z. Total
IMF reached 15 nT at 11/2116Z. The maximum southward component of Bz
reached -7 nT at 11/2158Z.  Protons greater than 10 MeV at
geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 71 pfu at 11/2100Z.
Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak
level of 289 pfu.
#
:Geophysical_Forecast:
Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at unsettled to severe storm levels on day one (13 May), quiet to
minor storm levels on day two (14 May) and quiet to active levels on day
three (15 May). Protons greater than 10 Mev are likely to cross
threshold on days one and two (13 May, 14 May).