Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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FNUS53 KDTX 131922
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
322 PM EDT Sat Apr 13 2024

.DISCUSSION...A warm front will move across Lower Michigan late
tonight, supporting a chance of a shower or thunderstorm. Low
pressure will track across northern Michigan on Sunday and will
drive a cold front across southeast Michigan. Daytime heating along
the front will however drive high temperatures into the 70s across
most of the area, while min RH values drop below 40 percent. High
pressure will expand across the region Monday, providing a dry day
with min RH values forecast to drop to 30 percent. Low pressure is
forecast to lift across the Great Lakes region on Wednesday,
bringing the next chance for rain.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-132115-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
322 PM EDT Sat Apr 13 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms after 2 am. Chance of rain
                    showers after 5 am. Chance of precipitation 30
                    percent.
Min temperature.....43-48.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........67-77 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest around 5 mph becoming south in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......680-880 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph increasing to around 15
                    mph in the late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (22).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 11 am. Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Max temperature.....66-72.
   24 hr trend......14 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........30-40 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West 10 to 15 mph becoming northwest early in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......7180-7680 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 20 mph becoming northwest early in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1635).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 40.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 hr trend......23 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......North 5 to 10 mph becoming west after midnight.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......300-500 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph becoming northwest around 5
                    mph after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (5).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
Max temperature.....62-66.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........30-40 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6980-7480 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 mph becoming west around 15
                    mph early in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1113).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-132115-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
322 PM EDT Sat Apr 13 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 2 am, then
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms after 2 am until
                    0500, then chance of showers and thunderstorms.
                    Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Min temperature.....41-46.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........72-82 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest around 5 mph becoming south in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......720-920 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph becoming southwest in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (16).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms
                    until 11 am, then slight chance of showers
                    until 2 pm. Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Max temperature.....64-68.
   24 hr trend......17 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........36-46 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest around 10 mph becoming north early in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6520-7020 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 20 mph becoming northwest in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1540).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Min temperature.....36-41.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........91-99 percent.
   24 hr trend......19 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......North around 5 mph becoming northwest in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......580-780 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph becoming northwest after
                    midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (7).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
Max temperature.....56-62.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........33-43 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6210-6710 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (989).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-132115-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
322 PM EDT Sat Apr 13 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Min temperature.....42-48.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........70-80 percent.
   24 hr trend......16 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest around 5 mph becoming south in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......740-940 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph becoming southwest in the
                    late evening and early morning, then increasing
                    to around 20 mph after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (18).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms
                    after 5 pm. Chance of precipitation 20 percent.
Max temperature.....70-76.
   24 hr trend......15 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........34-44 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West 15 to 20 mph becoming northwest early in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......6390-6890 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 25 mph becoming northwest early in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1473).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min temperature.....40-46.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........88-98 percent.
   24 hr trend......23 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......280-480 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph becoming northwest around 5
                    mph after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent).
Max temperature.....64-68.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........28-38 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5820-6320 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (780).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower 40s.
Highs in the mid 60s. East winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the upper 60s. South winds around 20 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 40s. Highs around 60. West winds around 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows around 40. Highs in
the lower 50s.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs around 50.

$$

SC
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