Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
495
FNUS52 KILM 020715
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
315 AM EDT Thu May 2 2024
.DISCUSSION...
Dry high pressure will move overhead on Thursday. Offshore high
pressure will take over for the weekend, keeping a moist onshore
flow in play through the weekend. A series of fronts will bring
unsettled weather to the area this weekend, followed by drier
weather early next week.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is High.
NCZ105>110-022315-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
315 AM EDT Thu May 2 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 87 60 87
Min/Max RH (%) 43 100 45
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SE 5 Lgt/Var S 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 73/1000 2000 69/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 4 4 5
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5800 5400
Transport Wind (mph) SE 9 S 9
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 52200 48600
ADI Early 22 Fair 32 Fair 23 Fair
ADI Late 52 Gen Good 4 Very Poor 51 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 9 6 9
Max LVORI Late 2 9 2
Min VSBY Early 0 Fog 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
61 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
62 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
62 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
55 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-022315-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
315 AM EDT Thu May 2 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 89 61 87
Min/Max RH (%) 34 100 39
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 4 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 70/0900 2000 68/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 4 4 5
DSI 4 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 7200 5500
Transport Wind (mph) SE 8 S 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 57600 55000
ADI Early 24 Fair 55 Gen Good 21 Fair
ADI Late 66 Good 5 Very Poor 58 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 9 5 9
Max LVORI Late 1 9 2
Min VSBY Early 0 Fog 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
55 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
47 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-022315-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
315 AM EDT Thu May 2 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 85 61 85
Min/Max RH (%) 44 100 51
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SE 5 Lgt/Var SE 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 73/1000 2000 70/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 4 5 5
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5700 4800
Transport Wind (mph) E 10 S 9
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 57000 43200
ADI Early 23 Fair 38 Fair 25 Fair
ADI Late 54 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 48 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 9 7 9
Max LVORI Late 2 9 2
Min VSBY Early 0 Fog 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
64 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
61 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
60 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
52 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-022315-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
315 AM EDT Thu May 2 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 88 61 87
Min/Max RH (%) 36 100 42
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var SE 4 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 73/1000 2000 68/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 4 4 5
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 7300 5400
Transport Wind (mph) SE 9 S 8
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 65700 43200
ADI Early 23 Fair 56 Gen Good 22 Fair
ADI Late 70 Good 5 Very Poor 57 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 9 5 9
Max LVORI Late 1 9 2
Min VSBY Early 0 Fog 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
54 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...III