Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Newport/Morehead, NC

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FNUS72 KMHX 221001
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Spot Forecast for Pea Island Rx...USFWS
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
601 AM EDT Fri Mar 22 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 EDT on March 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions
or concerns about this forecast, contact the National Weather
Service in Newport at (252)223-2328.

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 2 PM EDT SATURDAY...

Light northeasterly winds this morning will increase and become
southeasterly by late-morning. The morning inversion will mix out
between 9-11 am this morning. By mid to late-afternoon, the risk
of showers and isolated thunderstorms will steadily increase, with
wetting rainfall expected by the end of the day. Strong winds and
wetting rainfall is expected tonight into Saturday, along with a
continued risk of thunderstorms.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 59.
Min humidity........72 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 10 to 14 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing Height.......Max 1000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 18 to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Max 18860 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 3.
ADI.................Max 25.
Stability class.....3.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Sfc pressure........30.21 to 30.33 inHg.

TIME (EDT)      3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM
Sky (%).........22  26  35  53  61  64  69  72  78  90  96
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............50  51  53  55  56  57  58  58  58  58  57
RH..............77  77  74  72  72  72  72  72  75  75  80
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..10  10  10  10  11  11  12  12  12  13  13
20 FT wind gust.14  14  14  18  18  23  23  23  23  23  23
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.20  20  18  18  20  18  20  20  22  22  23
LVORI...........3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
ADI.............22  19  16  14  15  14  21  21  24  24  25
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
Vrate mph-ft/1K.19  17  16  13  12  12  12  13  16  16  16
Sfc pres (in)...031 033 033 033 032 032 031 030 027 024 021

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Slight chance of rain showers early in
                    the evening, then chance of rain showers early
                    in the evening. Rain showers likely overnight.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 57.
Max humidity........90 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 14 to 23 mph. Gusts up to 35
                    mph overnight.
Mixing Height.......Min 700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 23 to 31 mph increasing to 33 to 36
                    mph after 3 am.
Vent Rate...........Min 15639 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 4.
ADI.................Min 21.
Stability class.....4.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
Sfc pressure........29.97 to 30.21 inHg.

TIME (EDT)      2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM
Sky (%).........96  95  94  93  91  90  91  93  93  93  94  94
Weather cov.....SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............57  57  57  57  58  58  59  59  59  59  59  59
RH..............80  83  83  86  86  86  83  87  87  87  87  90
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..13  13  13  13  15  16  17  19  20  20  22  23
20 FT wind gust.23  23  18  23  23  23  23  27  27  27  32  32
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.8 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.1
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.23  24  25  23  26  30  31  31  31  31  33  36
LVORI...........3   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
ADI.............25  22  23  21  24  27  28  28  28  28  30  32
Haines index....4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4
Vrate mph-ft/1K.16  19  18  17  20  24  28  30  31  30  33  38
Sfc pres (in)...021 021 021 019 017 014 011 008 004 002 999 997

$$
Forecaster...Simms
Requested by...Caleb Jones
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2408157.0/MHX
.DELDT 03/22/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL caleb_jones@fws.gov


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