Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX

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FXUS64 KSJT 251941
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
241 PM CDT Mon Mar 25 2024

...New SHORT TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Tuesday)
Issued at 224 PM CDT Mon Mar 25 2024

Gusty conditions continue across west central Texas this
afternoon, with most locations seeing sustained westerly winds of
20-30 mph with gusts of 40 mph in the Concho Valley. Winds should
start to come down overnight as the pressure gradient relaxes.
Otherwise, we could see a few isolated showers develop this
afternoon as weak shortwave energy aloft traverses the region.
However, given the dry sub-cloud layer not expecting much to
actually reach the ground. Surface high pressure will build into
the region overnight as a reinforcing cold front drops into the
area. This will allow for overnight lows to dip into the 30s.
Highs on Tuesday will top out in the lower 60s in the Big Country
and the upper 60s to lower 70s across the Concho Valley.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday night through next Monday)
Issued at 119 PM CDT Mon Mar 25 2024

A broad upper-level trough will continue to work its way through
West Central Texas through mid-week, followed by weak upper-level
ridging and zonal flow (west to southwesterly) from Thursday into
early next week. A few weak upper-level disturbances will track
across our area through Wednesday, keeping at least a small amount
of cloud cover over the area and very small chances for a rain
shower or two through Wednesday. Rain chances have been kept out
of the forecast for now because confidence remains low through
Wednesday. However, those chances do increase on Wednesday as a
stronger system tracks through the area on the western periphery
of the upper level trough as it exits eastward by overnight
Wednesday into Thursday morning.

From Thursday onward we are expecting mostly benign weather with
some warming temperatures, especially going into the weekend and
early next week where we can see high temperatures reach into the
80s and even 90s by Monday. The only caveat to this benign
weather pattern is the chance for another round of gusty winds on
Friday and Saturday under the aforementioned zonal flow across
West Central Texas.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1223 PM CDT Mon Mar 25 2024

VFR conditions will continue through the next 24 hours. Westerly
winds will remain gusty- 20-30 knots with gusts around 35 knots-
through the evening before decreasing to under 10 knots tonight.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     34  62  41  70 /   0   0  10  30
San Angelo  36  69  43  73 /   0   0   0  20
Junction    39  73  46  74 /   0   0  10  30
Brownwood   36  63  42  69 /   0   0   0  40
Sweetwater  35  63  43  69 /  10   0  10  20
Ozona       41  69  44  71 /   0   0  10  10
Brady       37  65  45  69 /   0   0  10  40

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...42
LONG TERM....TP
AVIATION...42


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