Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

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953
FNUS53 KAPX 241935
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
335 PM EDT Tue Apr 24 2018

...Changeable temperatures over the next several days...

.DISCUSSION...A cold front will slide across the region this
evening perhaps producing a few rain showers followed by cooler
temperatures Wednesday. After a cold night Wednesday night,
Thursday will turn warm once again. Another cold front will move
through early Friday bringing chances for rain and possibly even
snow showers. It will remain fairly cool Friday into this weekend
before warming up again early next week.


MIZ016-017-019-021>023-250815-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
335 PM EDT Tue Apr 24 2018

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 2400, then
                    partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min Temperature.....33-38.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Max Humidity........92-97 percent.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter...except 8 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (80).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.15 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
                    drizzle until 1200.
Max Temperature.....45-50...except 37-42 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......13 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........46-51 percent...except 64-69 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent drier...except 4 percent wetter along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (660).
Mixing Height.......4400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min Temperature.....24-29...except around 31 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........90-95 percent...except 80-85 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter...except 4 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (10).
Mixing Height.......200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 9 mph shifting to the west
                    around 3 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Max Temperature.....58-63...except around 50 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......11 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........34-39 percent...except 52-57 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......12 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (470).
Mixing Height.......4400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 3 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-250815-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
335 PM EDT Tue Apr 24 2018

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Rain showers
                    likely until 2400. slight chance of rain
                    showers after 2400.
Min Temperature.....37-42.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent...except 81-86 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    northwest after midnight. Gusts up to 25 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (30).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 6 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.16 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
                    drizzle until 1200. slight chance of rain
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....47-52...except 38-43 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........47-52 percent...except 62-67 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (760).
Mixing Height.......4400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 18 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min Temperature.....28-33.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........88-93 percent...except 76-81 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter...except 11 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (20).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max Temperature.....58-63...except 47-52 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........32-37 percent...except 48-53 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......16 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (300).
Mixing Height.......4600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-250815-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
335 PM EDT Tue Apr 24 2018

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 2400, then
                    partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min Temperature.....34-39.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........92-97 percent...except 80-85 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (90).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.06 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max Temperature.....45-50...except around 41 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......15 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........46-51 percent...except 67-72 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (690).
Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min Temperature.....27-32...except 34-39 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........87-92 percent...except 73-78 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (10).
Mixing Height.......200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 9 mph shifting to the
                    southwest around 3 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Max Temperature.....56-61...except 42-47 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......11 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........35-40 percent...except 58-63 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......13 percent drier...except 7 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (430).
Mixing Height.......4200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 3 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ031>033-250815-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
335 PM EDT Tue Apr 24 2018

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 2400, then
                    partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 2400.
Min Temperature.....34-39.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........90-95 percent...except 80-85 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (120).
Mixing Height.......800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.10 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max Temperature.....47-52...except 39-44 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......13 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........44-49 percent...except 60-65 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent drier...except 4 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (710).
Mixing Height.......4200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min Temperature.....28-33.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees cooler...except 5 degrees cooler
                    near the coast.
Max Humidity........87-92 percent...except 73-78 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (10).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 9 mph shifting to the west around
                    3 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max Temperature.....57-62...except 48-53 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........35-40 percent...except 46-51 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (360).
Mixing Height.......4500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-250815-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
335 PM EDT Tue Apr 24 2018

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 2400.
Min Temperature.....36-41.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........90-95 percent.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph .
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (30).
Mixing Height.......700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 6 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........0.02-0.17 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers until 1200.
Max Temperature.....48-53.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........46-51 percent.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 10 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (750).
Mixing Height.......4500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent).
Min Temperature.....27-32.
   24 HR Trend......11 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (10).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max Temperature.....59-64.
   24 HR Trend......12 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........28-33 percent.
   24 HR Trend......16 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (360).
Mixing Height.......5300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS AROUND
50. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS AROUND 70.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

$$

AS



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