Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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FNUS75 KBOU 231049
FWSBOU

Spot Forecast for Indian Creek...USFS
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO
449 AM MDT Mon Apr 23 2018

Forecast is based on request time of 0500 MDT on April 23.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...An upper level trough and cold front will move
across Colorado tonight. The best lift and instability will move
north of the area, but there is still a slight chance of showers
or thunderstorms this afternoon. There`s a better chance of snow
showers, possibly starting as rain, behind the cold front
overnight tonight. There may be a couple hours of stronger winds
with gusts as high as 30 mph behind the front in the late evening
hours. If it does snow, accumulations should be 2 inches or less.
The showers will diminish Tuesday but it will be a cool damp day.
Another weak system will bring a chance of light rain or snow
showers late Wednesday, then it will be warmer and drier. No
strong winds are expected through Friday.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy(60-65%).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 37.
Max humidity........70%.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 4-12 mph.
Mixing height.......Below 1000 FT AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15-20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Haines Index........3 very low.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy(40-50%) until 1300, then mostly
                    cloudy(60-65%). Slight chance of thunderstorms
                    after 1400.
CWR.................5 percent.
LAL.................1 until 1400, then 2 until 1600, then 3.
Max temperature.....Around 63.
Min humidity........29%.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5-11 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms after 1400.
Mixing height.......Below 1000 FT AGL until 1000. 11400-12200 ft
                    AGL after 1200.
Transport winds.....West 10-20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 1100, then good until 1200, then
                    very good.
Haines Index........4 low.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms until 2400,
                    then chance of rain and snow showers.
CWR.................10 percent increasing to 30 percent.
LAL.................3 until 1900, then 4 until 2100, then 1.
Min temperature.....Around 29.
Max humidity........96%.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 3-6 mph until 2100, then north 8-15
                    mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms until 2100.
Mixing height.......11000 ft AGL until 1900. 1400-1700 ft AGL after
                    2100.
Transport winds.....North 10-15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good until 1900, then good until 2000,
                    then fair until 2100, then poor.
Haines Index........4 low.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Chance of snow showers.
CWR.................30 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 36.
Min humidity........69%.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 6-12 mph.
Mixing height.......2800-3800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 15-25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0800, then fair until 1100, then
                    good.
Haines Index........2 very low.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...
Partly cloudy. Chance of snow showers. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs
in the lower 50s. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the lower 50s.
Northwest winds 5-6 mph.
.FRIDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs around 60. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.


Fire Weather Table for Indian Creek.

+++  Data in the following table has been sampled directly from the
     forecast database.  Values in the table may vary slightly from
     information in the narrative forecast.  Feedback welcome.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

04/23-05 61  4  1 42 62  SW  9 14 3 1          658  SW 13  7179 P
04/23-06 41  4  1 41 62  SW  9 15 3 1          677  SW 13  7351 P
04/23-07 45  4  1 40 67  SW  9 14 3 1          739 WSW 10  6910 P
04/23-08 48  4  1 45 58 WSW  9 13 3 1          802   W  9  6280 P
04/23-09 50  4  1 49 52 WSW  7  7 4 1          864   W  7  5460 P
04/23-10 53  2  0 54 41   W  6  6 4 1         4380   W  9 36361 P
04/23-11 54  7  1 58 36   W  5  5 4 1         7896   W 12 81215   G
04/23-12 57  5  1 61 32 WNW  3  3 4 1        11411   W 14140023    V
04/23-13 61  5  1 62 30 WNW  3  3 4 1        11690   W 14142828    V
04/23-14 62 11  2 63 29 WNW  3  5 4 2        11969   W 14145604    V
04/23-15 67 14  3 63 29 WNW  3  5 4 2        12248   W 14148350    V
04/23-16 66 15  3 62 30   W  3  5 4 3        11817   W 14140382    V
04/23-17 67 16  3 61 29 WSW  5  5 4 3        11385   W 14132615    V
04/23-18 66 20  4 59 32 WSW  6  6 4 3        10954   W 13125047    V
04/23-19 70 25  5 55 38   W  6  6 4 4         7873 WNW 13 84047   G
04/23-20 73 29  8 51 44 WNW  5  5 4 4         4792   N 12 47609  F
04/23-21 77 34 13 47 53 NNW  6  6 4 1         1711 NNE 10 15732 P
04/23-22 83 38 16 44 62 NNW  8  8 3 1         1707 NNE 13 19006 P
04/23-23 85 38 16 41 73   N  8  8 3 1         1703 NNE 15 22264 P
04/24-00 90 52 28 39 79   N  9 13 2 1         1699 NNE 17 25506 P
04/24-01 91 52 28 37 82   N  9 14 2 1         1586   N 15 21116 P
04/24-02 92 52 28 36 85   N  9 14 2 1         1474   N 14 17110 P
04/24-03 93 52 28 34 89   N  9 13 2 1         1361   N 12 13487 P
04/24-04 95 52 28 33 89   N  8  8 2 1         1484 NNE 12 14742 P
04/24-05 96 52 28 31 96   N  8  8 2 1         1607 NNE 12 16003 P
04/24-06 92 53 28 30 92 NNE  6  6 2 1         1730 NNE 12 17270 P
04/24-07 92 53 28 29 96 NNE  7  7 2 1         2045 NNE 16 27921 P
04/24-08 92 53 28 29 92 NNE  7  7 2 1         2359   N 20 40882  F
04/24-09 92 53 28 29 92 NNE  8  8 2 1         2674   N 24 56995  F
04/24-10 92 53 28 29 92 NNE  9  9 2 1         2808   N 24 59024  F
04/24-11 91 53 28 29 92 NNE 10 10 2 1         2942   N 24 60974   G
04/24-12 90 47 23 29 92   N 10 10 2 1         3076   N 23 62845   G
04/24-13 90 47 23 31 85   N 10 10 2 1         3345   N 23 66105   G
04/24-14 89 47 23 33 82   N  9  9 2 1         3614   N 22 69003   G
04/24-15 88 47 23 35 75   N  9  9 2 1         3884   N 21 71539   G
04/24-16 88 47 23 36 69   N  9  9 2 1         3858   N 21 69281   G
04/24-17 87 47 23 36 69   N  8  8 2 1         3833   N 20 67046   G
04/24-18 87 28 13 35 69   N  8  8 2 1         3808   N 20 64835   G
04/24-19 85 28 13 34 72   N  7  7 2 1         3603   N 18 57144  F
04/24-20 80 28 13 32 78   N  6  6 2 1         3399   N 17 49930  F
04/24-21 78 28 13 31 81   N  5  5 2 1         3195   N 16 43194  F
04/24-22 75 28 13 30 85   N  3  3 2 1         2800   N 14 33999 P
04/24-23 68 28 13 30 81  NW  3  3 2 1         2406   N 13 25891 P
04/25-00 64  7  1 30 81  NW  3  3 2 1         2012   N 10 18872 P
04/25-01 57  7  1 30 81 WNW  3  3 2 1         1906   N 10 16413 P
04/25-02 44  7  1 29 85 WNW  3  3 2 1         1799 NNW  9 14116 P
04/25-03 37  7  1 28 88   W  3  3 2 1         1693 NNW  8 11983 P
04/25-04 35  7  1 26 92   W  3  3 2 1         1456 NNW  8 10897 P
04/25-05 30  7  1 25 92   W  3  3 2 1         1219 NNW  9  9618 P
04/25-06 28  2  0 25 88   W  3  3 2 1          982 NNW  9  8146 P
04/25-07 23  2  0 28 78   W  3  3 3 1         1669 NNW 13 18127 P
04/25-08 14  2  0 32 69 WSW  3  3 3 1         2356 NNW 15 31630 P
04/25-09  9  2  0 37 56 WSW  3  3 4 1         3043 NNW 18 48656  F
04/25-10  8  2  0 42 44   W  3  3 3 1         3633 NNW 21 64528   G
04/25-11  5  2  0 46 38   N  2  2 3 1         4222 NNW 23 82492   G
04/25-12  4  3  1 50 31  NE  2  2 2 1         4812 NNW 24102549    V
04/25-13  4  3  1 52 29 ENE  2  2 3 1         5235 NNW 24112388    V
04/25-14  3  3  1 54 28 ESE  3  3 4 1         5658   N 25122358    V
04/25-15  3  3  1 55 27  SE  3  3 5 1         6082   N 25132461    V
04/25-16  4  3  1 56 26 SSE  3  3 4 1         5208 NNW 21 95084   G
04/25-17  5  3  1 56 25 SSE  5  5 4 1         4334 NNW 17 63863   G
04/25-18  6  0  0 55 26 SSE  5  5 3 1         3460  NW 13 38799 P
04/25-19  7  0  0 52 29   S  5  5   1
04/25-20  8  0  0 48 34   S  5  5   1
04/25-21  8  0  0 45 38 SSW  5  5   1
04/25-22 10  0  0 43 41 SSW  6  6   1
04/25-23 15  0  0 42 43 WSW  6  6   1
04/26-00 17  2  0 41 44   W  7  7   1
04/26-01 16  2  0 40 44   W  7  7   1
04/26-02 14  2  0 38 46   W  8  8   1
04/26-03 13  2  0 37 48 WNW  8  8   1
04/26-04 18  2  0 36 52 WNW  8  8   1
04/26-05 28  2  0 36 54 NNW  8  8   1
04/26-06 33 12  1 36 56 NNW  8  8   1

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...GIMMESTAD
REQUESTED BY...Pueblo Interagency Dispatch
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1806884.6/BOU


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