Suppression Forecast
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000
FNUS74 KEPZ 252144
FWSEPZ

Spot Forecast for Indian Peaks Rx Unit 13...Gila National Forest
National Weather Service Santa Teresa NM/El Paso TX
344 PM MDT Fri May 25 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1800 MDT on May 25.

If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the El Paso
National Weather Service Forecast Office.

.DISCUSSION...
Upper level low pressure approaching from the west,
will bring breezy to locally windy southwest winds
to the burn site this weekend.  It will remain hot
and and very dry, with partly cloudy skies on tap
mainly from high cloud cover.


.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....84-85.
Min humidity........6-7 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 12 to 18 mph
                    with gusts to around 35 mph.
Mixing height.......6700 ft AGL increasing to 12900 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 11 to 12 mph increasing to 32 to 33
                    mph late in the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (158800 knot-ft) increasing to
                    excellent (350100 knot-ft) in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 to 6 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or high potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........40     40     40     43     43     43
Weather cov.....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............44     60     76     81     83     84
RH..............26     15     9      7      7      7
20 ft wind......S 4    S 6    S 10   S 15   S 17   SW 18
20 ft wind gust.5      15     20     30     35     35
Mix hgt (ft)....6700   6700   6700   12900  12900  12900
Transport wind..W 5    SW 6   S 15   S 28   SW 31  SW 33
Haines index....5      5      5      5      6      6
Vent Rate.......EXNT   EXNT   EXNT   EXNT   EXNT   EXNT

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....44-46.
Max humidity........29-32 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 7 to 12 mph with gusts to
                    around 35 mph until early morning becoming
                    light.
Mixing height.......9800 ft AGL decreasing to 0 ft AGL after
                    midnight.
Transport winds.....Southwest 28 to 29 mph becoming west 4 to 5 mph
                    early in the evening.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (275700 knot-ft) decreasing to poor
                    (100 knot-ft) after midnight.
Haines Index........4 to 6 or low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or high potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      6 PM      9 PM      MIDNGT    3 AM
Sky (%).........41        41        41        41
Weather cov.....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0         0         0         0
LAL.............1         1         1         1
Temp............83        69        57        51
RH..............7         12        19        24
20 FT wind......SW 17G35  SW 12G25  SW 6G15   W 3G5
Mix hgt (ft)....9800      9800      BLW100    BLW100
Transport wind..SW 32     SW 9      W 6       W 6
Haines index....5         6         4         4
Vent Rate.......EXNT      EXNT      POOR      POOR

$$
Forecaster...TRIPOLI
Requested by...Colten Moor
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1810403.8/EPZ
.EMAIL lcarver@fs.fed.us



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