Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Northern Indiana

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913
FNUS73 KIWX 201613
FWSIWX

Spot Forecast for Dowagiac RX...USFS/BIA
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
1213 PM EDT Fri Apr 20 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1200 EDT on April 20.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (574) 834-1104, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

No wetting rainfall expected through the weekend with drying of
fuels expected each afternoon as humidity values drop into the 30
to 40 percent range. Winds will remain under 10 mph with few if
any gusts.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....53-58.
Min humidity........32 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming north 5 to 6 mph late in
                    the morning.
Mixing height.......3700-5300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 6 to 12 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good (10700-30700 knot-ft).
Haines Index........4 to 5 OR (low) to (moderate).

TIME (EDT)      12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM
Sky (%).........0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............51  54  55  56  56  55  53  49
RH..............37  34  34  32  33  32  37  43
20 FT wind dir..N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N
20 FT wind spd..4   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.
Mix hgt (kft)...3.7 3.7 5.3 5.3 5.3 4.3 4.3 4.3
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.12  12  9   9   9   6   6   6
Haines index....4   4   5   5   5   5   5   5
VRate kt-ft/100011  11  31  31  31  31  31  31
SDspl kt-ft/100011  11  31  31  31  31  31  31

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....28-33.
Max humidity........80 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds up to 5 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 7 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1000 knot-ft).

TIME (EDT)      8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM
Sky (%).........8   9   9   10  16  21  26  35  44  52  58  64
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............46  42  39  37  35  35  34  34  34  33  32  32
RH..............49  54  62  65  68  70  71  72  72  74  80  80
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..5   4   4   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   3
20 FT wind gust.
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  E   E   E
Transp wind spd.7   7   7   6   6   6   5   5   5   5   5   5
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
VRate kt-ft/10001   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
SDspl kt-ft/10001   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....54-59.
Min humidity........36 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast up to 5 mph
                    early in the morning, then becoming light late
                    in the morning.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL increasing to 4400-5200 ft AGL in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....East 2 to 7 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (9300-13100 knot-ft).
Haines Index........5 (moderate).

TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM
Sky (%).........54  59  69  74  75  78  79  81  82  83  82  81
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............35  39  46  51  54  55  56  56  56  56  55  54
RH..............74  63  52  44  39  38  37  37  36  37  40  43
20 FT wind dir..E   SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   SE  E   NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..3   4   5   5   5   4   3   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.3 0.3 4.5 4.5 4.5 5.2 5.2 5.2 4.4 4.4 4.4
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E   E
Transp wind spd.2   2   2   7   7   7   3   3   3   2   2   2
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
VRate kt-ft/10009   9   9   9   9   9   13  13  13  13  13  13
SDspl kt-ft/10009   9   9   9   9   9   13  13  13  13  13  13

$$
Forecaster...FISHER
Requested by...Chris Loomis
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1807195.0/IWX
.EMAIL csloomis@fs.fed.us



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