Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Louisville, KY

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Spot Forecast for Barford Landing Prescribed Burn...Lloyd A. Foe Consuslting Foresters, LLC
National Weather Service Louisville, KY
1257 PM EDT Thu Apr 26 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1600 EDT on April 26.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...A weak weather system will pass through
the Tennessee Valley bringing a chance of showers to
southern Kentucky. Elsewhere dry conditions are expected. Smoke
dispersion should quickly increase to good early this afternoon.
Mixing heights should top out in the 5-6 kft agl range this
afternoon as well.

Mostly dry weather is expected through this weekend
and into early next week with normal to slightly
below normal temperatures.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 67.
Min humidity........39 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......300-1800 ft AGL increasing to 5000-5800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 3 to 7 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good (1600-34700 knot-ft).
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................7 increasing to 26.
DSI.................2.

TIME (EDT)      4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........69  71
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............67  67
RH..............40  39
20 FT wind dir..N   N
20 FT wind spd..2   3
20 FT wind gust.5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...5.8 5.7
Transp wind dir.W   W
Transp wind spd.7   7
Dispersion......2   2
LVORI...........2   2
ADI.............30  22
VRate kt-ft/100035  34

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 46.
Max humidity........79 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......3200-5100 ft AGL decreasing to 0-200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 3 to 7 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good (0-30700 knot-ft).
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................21 decreasing to 3.
DSI.................2.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........68  65  62  56  51  45  40  36  31  32  32  33
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............66  64  62  59  57  54  52  50  49  47  47  46
RH..............41  44  48  51  55  59  66  71  74  76  76  79
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...5.1 4.2 3.2 2.1 1.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
Transp wind dir.W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.7   7   6   5   3   3   3   5   5   5   3   3
Dispersion......2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
LVORI...........2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4
ADI.............21  3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
VRate kt-ft/100031  26  16  9   3   1   0   0   1   1   1   1

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers early in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 69.
Min humidity........40 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west 5 to 9 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......0-1600 ft AGL increasing to 6200-7700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 2 to 10 mph increasing to 14 to 21 mph
                    late in the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good (0-30700 knot-ft) increasing to
                    excellent (114800 knot-ft).
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................3 increasing to 13 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 35 late in the morning increasing
                    to 58 late in the morning increasing to 72
                    increasing to 85 early in the afternoon
                    decreasing to 73.
DSI.................3.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........33  33  23  22  22  22  25  32  35  38  44  47
Weather cov.....                                SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....                                RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Temp............46  46  48  52  57  62  66  67  68  69  69  68
RH..............76  79  71  66  57  50  45  43  42  40  40  42
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   3   5   6   7   7   8   9   9   9
20 FT wind gust.5   5   5   5   10  10  10  15  15  15  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.1 0.2 1.6 3.4 5.1 6.2 6.8 7.2 7.6 7.7 7.0
Transp wind dir.W   W   SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.2   2   3   7   10  14  16  17  18  20  21  21
Dispersion......2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
LVORI...........4   4   3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............1   3   4   13  35  58  72  82  88  71  75  72
VRate kt-ft/10000   0   1   10  31  62  85  103 115 132 140 127

$$
Forecaster...AMS
Requested by...Lloyd A. Foe
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1807988.0/LMK
.EMAIL lloydfoe@twc.com



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