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FNAK79 PAFG 021427
FWSAFG

Spot Forecast for FWA - SAC 2024...BLM-AFS
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
627 AM AKDT Thu May 2 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 AKDT on May 02.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
An Arctic cold front that lies over the fire will move north of
the fire tonight. There will be isolated rain and snow showers along
this front this morning.

A thermal low pressure trough over the Alaska Range will remain
in place today, then move over the Tanana River Fri, then
move over the fire on Sat. This will causing a warming and drying
trend Fri into Sat.

Moderate southerly Chinook winds developing across the Alaska
Range late Fri will continue into Sat before diminishing Sat
night and Sun. This will cause south winds to gust to 20 mph
over the fire area on Sat.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent).
                    Isolated showers in the morning.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 53.
Min humidity........25 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 7 mph.
Ridgetop wind.......Northeast 5 mph.
Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL increasing to 4900 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 8 mph.
Inversion burnoff...Noon.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 32.
Max humidity........71 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 8 mph.
Ridgetop wind.......Northeast 5 mph.
Mixing height.......4900 ft AGL decreasing to 400 ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 7 mph.
Inversion setup.....10 PM.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly Cloudy (55 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 57.
Min humidity........24 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast 5-8 mph.
Ridgetop wind.......Northeast 8 mph.
Mixing height.......2400 ft AGL increasing to 4700 ft AGL late in
                    the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 mph.
Inversion burnoff...11 AM.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the lower 60s. East
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in
the mid 60s. Light winds.
.MONDAY...
Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows in the upper 30s.
Highs in the upper 50s. Light winds.

$$
Forecaster...BRADER
Requested by...Matt Matush
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412821.1/AFG
.DELDT 05/02/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0