Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

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FNUS53 KAPX 220922
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
522 AM EDT Mon Apr 22 2024

...Elevated Fire Danger today...

.DISCUSSION...High pressure will move away from lower Michigan
today. Southwest winds increase today, and gusts of 25 to 30 mph
will be common this afternoon and early evening. Temperatures
will be warmer than yesterday, with 60s in most of northern lower
Michigan. Relative humidity will bottom out at around 20 percent
in much of the area late this afternoon.

Clouds will increase this evening, and a band of rain showers
will cross northern lower Michigan tonight. Rainfall amounts of
between 0.10" and 0.30" are expected. There may be a lull in
shower activity Tuesday morning, but additional showers and
perhaps a thunderstorm are expected in the afternoon and evening.
Southwest winds will remain breezy tonight, and become west on
Tuesday.

MIZ016-017-021>023-099-222045-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
522 AM EDT Mon Apr 22 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max Temperature.....61-66...except 51-56 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......12 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........20-25 percent.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1754).
Mixing Height.......6500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 15 mph increasing to around 27
                    mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers after 2400.
Min Temperature.....43-48.
   24 HR Trend......24 degrees warmer...except 17 degrees warmer
                    near the coast.
Max Humidity........81-86 percent...except 72-77 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (192).
Mixing Height.......1000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.03- 0.23 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....63-68...except 48-53 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer...except 3 degrees cooler near
                    the coast.
Min Humidity........27-32 percent...except 37-42 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter...except 29 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1870).
Mixing Height.......6500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 21 to 27 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.05- 0.11 in.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-222045-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
522 AM EDT Mon Apr 22 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Max Temperature.....61-66...except 49-54 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........20-25 percent.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1876).
Mixing Height.......7200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 12 mph increasing to around 24
                    mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain showers
                    after 2400.
Min Temperature.....42-47.
   24 HR Trend......19 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........82-87 percent.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (179).
Mixing Height.......1000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.09 in .

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers until 1200Rain showers likely after
                    1200.
Max Temperature.....64-69...except 53-58 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........27-32 percent.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (2504).
Mixing Height.......8600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 24 to 27 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.06- 0.14 in.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-222045-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
522 AM EDT Mon Apr 22 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Max Temperature.....60-65...except 47-52 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........19-24 percent.
   24 HR Trend......12 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1601).
Mixing Height.......6000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 12 mph increasing to around 27
                    mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers after 2400.
Min Temperature.....42-47.
   24 HR Trend......16 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........81-86 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 5 percent wetter along the
                    coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (234).
Mixing Height.......1100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.08- 0.24 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers until 1200Rain showers likely after
                    1200.
Max Temperature.....62-67...except 43-48 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer...except 2 degrees cooler near
                    the coast.
Min Humidity........28-33 percent.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent wetter...except 23 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1771).
Mixing Height.......6400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 21 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........Around 0.08 in .


$$

MIZ031>033-222045-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
522 AM EDT Mon Apr 22 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max Temperature.....59-64.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........19-24 percent.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1700).
Mixing Height.......6500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 12 mph increasing to around 27
                    mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers after 2400.
Min Temperature.....45-50.
   24 HR Trend......18 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........79-84 percent...except 69-74 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent drier...except 7 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (225).
Mixing Height.......1100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.06- 0.23 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers until 1200Rain showers likely after
                    1200.
Max Temperature.....62-67...except 52-57 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer...except unchanged near the
                    coast.
Min Humidity........27-32 percent...except 38-43 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent wetter...except 19 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1834).
Mixing Height.......7000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 21 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.05- 0.12 in.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-222045-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
522 AM EDT Mon Apr 22 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max Temperature.....60-65.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........20-25 percent.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1998).
Mixing Height.......7700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 12 mph increasing to around 24
                    mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers after 2400.
Min Temperature.....43-48.
   24 HR Trend......21 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........81-86 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (208).
Mixing Height.......1100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.05- 0.13 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers until 1200Rain showers likely after
                    1200.
Max Temperature.....63-68.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........27-32 percent.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (2660).
Mixing Height.......9400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 21 to 27 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........Around 0.10 in .


$$

.EXTENDED...

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 20 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.

$$

JZ
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