Spot Forecast Issued by NWS Duluth, MN
000
FNUS73 KDLH 130957
FWSDLH
Spot Forecast for Crex meadows unit 78...Wi dnr
National Weather Service Duluth MN
457 AM CDT Sat Apr 13 2024
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 CDT on April 13.
If there are questions or concerns with this forecast, or if
conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National
Weather Service in Duluth at 218-729-0653.
.DISCUSSION...
Pretty close to near-critical fire weather conditions on the burn
site today. Warm with temperatures near 75, MinRH of 25-30%, and
winds climbing to 13 mph gusting to 22 to 25 mph out of the south
will be fairly concerning today. This evening winds may be a
little erratic as a warm front followed by a cold front crosses
over the burn site. Sunday will have similar conditions but with
a little less wind and slightly cooler.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 73.
Min humidity........29 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 6 to 14 mph. Gusts up to 24 mph in
the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2000 ft AGL increasing to 4700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 8 to 16 mph increasing to 20 to 26 mph
late in the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (3000-18700 knot-ft) increasing to
excellent (89800-99800 knot-ft).
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
TIME (CDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............36 45 52 56 61 64 67 71 71 72
RH..............79 60 49 43 36 32 30 29 30 31
20 FT wind dir..SE S S S S S S S S S
20 FT wind spd..5 7 8 9 11 12 13 13 13 12
20 FT wind gust.8 11 14 16 19 21 22 22 21 18
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.7 1.3 2.0 2.7 3.1 3.9 4.1 4.3 4.7
Transp wind dir.S S S S S S S S SW SW
Transp wind spd.8 12 16 20 23 23 26 26 26 24
Haines index....5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4
SDspl kt-ft/10003 8 19 34 55 63 90 94 100 98
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 39.
Max humidity........89 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 6 to 10 mph shifting to the
northeast 5 to 6 mph late in the evening, then
shifting to the north 5 to 7 mph overnight.
Mixing height.......3400 ft AGL decreasing to 600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 mph decreasing to around 10
mph early in the evening, then shifting to the
east around 8 mph early in the evening shifting
to the north 6 to 10 mph in the late evening
and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (57400 knot-ft) decreasing to poor (1800
knot-ft).
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
Sky cover.......MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR CLEAR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 10 10 10 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............73 66 56 50 46 42
RH..............31 44 63 71 73 82
20 ft wind......SW 10 S 6 NE 4 N 6 N 6 N 4
20 ft wind gust.14 8 7 11 11 7
Mix hgt (ft)....3400 400 400 400 300 400
Transport wind..SW 20 E 8 N 6 N 7 N 7 N 10
Haines index....4 5 5 5 5 5
SDspl kt-ft/100060 3 2 2 2 4
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 69.
Min humidity........25 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......1900 ft AGL increasing to 7100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 12 to 21 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (3500-19500 knot-ft) increasing to
good (31100 knot-ft) late in the morning, then
increasing to excellent (63500-102500 knot-ft)
late in the morning increasing to excellent
(111100-121900 knot-ft) late in the afternoon
decreasing to excellent (81700 knot-ft).
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
Sky cover.......MCLEAR MCLEAR CLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............41 44 56 64 68 69
RH..............85 79 54 36 28 25
20 ft wind......NW 4 NW 6 N 8 NW 9 NW 10 NW 11
20 ft wind gust.7 9 14 15 16 18
Mix hgt (ft)....400 600 1900 4900 6400 7100
Transport wind..N 12 N 13 N 18 N 20 NW 20 NW 20
Haines index....5 5 5 5 5 5
SDspl kt-ft/10004 7 32 84 111 122
$$
Forecaster...Jonathan
Requested by...Renae Essenmacher
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2410559.0/DLH
.DELDT 04/13/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Renae.essenmacher@wisconsin.