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000
FNUS73 KDLH 241236
FWSDLH

Spot Forecast for 419 RX...U.S.F.S.
National Weather Service Duluth MN
736 AM CDT Wed Apr 24 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on April 25.
If there are questions or concerns with this forecast, or if
conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National
Weather Service in Duluth at 218-729-0653.

.DISCUSSION...

Another dry and mainly sunny day is expected for tomorrow.
Afternoon RH values will fall to around 28 percent with south to
southeast winds at 5 to 10 mph. Smoke dispersion will be better
than today with southerly transport winds increasing through the
day. Friday will see chances for showers starting in the morning
with better chances arriving in the afternoon. These rain chances
will continue through the weekend with widespread rainfall
expected. Soaking rainfall is expected with this prolonged period
of rain.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 62.
Min humidity........28 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 6 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......4500 ft AGL increasing to 5800 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 12 to 16 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair to good (26000-38400 knot-ft) increasing
                    to good to excellent (56900-81500 knot-ft).
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............52  55  58  60  61  62  62  62
RH..............39  33  31  29  29  28  28  29
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..6   6   7   7   8   8   8   8
20 FT wind gust.13  13  14  14  14  14  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...2.6 3.8 4.5 5.2 5.4 5.6 5.8 4.4
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.12  12  13  14  15  16  16  15
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
SDspl kt-ft/100026  38  49  62  70  78  82  57

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (45-55 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 39.
Max humidity........64 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 6 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......3000 ft AGL decreasing to 900 ft AGL in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....South 12 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair to good (15700-33800 knot-ft) decreasing
                    to poor (5100-11600 knot-ft) early in the
                    evening.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky cover.......MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      10     10
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............60     54     47     45     43     41
RH..............32     41     49     52     51     55
20 ft wind......S 7    SE 7   SE 6   S 7    S 7    SE 8
20 ft wind gust.14     14     12     14     15     15
Mix hgt (ft)....3000   1200   500    600    600    600
Transport wind..S 13   S 12   S 12   S 14   S 15   S 14
Haines index....4      5      5      5      5      5
SDspl kt-ft/100034     12     5      7      8      7

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers in the morning. Rain showers likely in
                    the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 58.
Min humidity........48 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 13 to 20 mph with gusts to
                    around 28 mph.
Mixing height.......2700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 16 to 24 mph increasing to 21 to 29
                    mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (12200-25100 knot-ft) increasing
                    to good to excellent (35100-64200 knot-ft).
Haines Index........3 to 5 or very low to moderate potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.24 inches.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky cover.......MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
Weather cov.....       CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY
Weather type....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10     40     40     40     70     70
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............39     41     49     54     55     54
RH..............62     64     56     50     48     52
20 ft wind......SE 12  SE 16  SE 17  SE 19  SE 19  SE 17
20 ft wind gust.21     25     25     27     27     25
Mix hgt (ft)....900    1100   1400   2200   2700   2400
Transport wind..S 16   S 18   SE 21  SE 28  SE 26  SE 21
Haines index....5      4      4      4      3      3
SDspl kt-ft/100012     18     25     54     62     44

$$
Forecaster...Bryan
Requested by...Andrew Nelson
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412210.0/DLH
.DELDT 04/24/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL andrew.l.nelson@usda.gov