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FNUS75 KGJT 150432
FWSGJT

Spot Forecast for Rattlesnake Gulch...Montrose Interagency Dispatch
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
1032 PM MDT Sun Apr 14 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 MDT on April 15.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...A late season winter storm will move over the fire
site on Monday bringing cooler temperatures and a chance for
showers. However, potential for wetting rain is low. Winds will
shift through the day as the storm`s center moves overhead,
beginning out of the south and transitioning to the west in the
afternoon. Dry and warmer conditions expected Tuesday with less
wind.

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent) then becoming partly
                    sunny (55-65 percent). Slight chance of rain
                    showers in the morning, then chance of rain
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in
                    the afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent.
Max temperature.....60-65.
Min humidity........15-20 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 10 to 15 mph with occasional gusts
                    to 25 mph shifting to the west from 1200 to
                    1500. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Becoming excellent.
Haines Index........4 or low.
LAL.................1 until 1200, then 2.
Mixing height.......Rising to 10200 ft AGL at peak heating.
Transport winds.....Southwest 24 mph.

.MONDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in
                    the evening, then slight chance of rain showers
                    overnight.
CWR.................10 percent.
Min temperature.....34-39.
Max humidity........72-77 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph decreasing to
                    5 to 10 mph and shifting to downvalley flow
                    in the evening. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the evening.
Smoke dispersal.....Decreasing to poor (5000 knot-ft) overnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low.
LAL.................2 until 2100, then 1.
Mixing height.......Decreasing to 500 ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....West 14 mph.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent) then becoming
                    sunny (20-30 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....67-72.
Min humidity........17-22 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Downslope 5 to 10 mph through 1000, then
                    becoming northwest at 8 to 13 mph early in the
                    afternoon .
Smoke dispersal.....Becoming very good in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......Increasing to 8200 ft AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest 17 mph.

$$

Forecaster...Norv Larson
Requested by...Montrose  Interagency Dispatch
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2410824.0/GJT
.DELDT 04/14/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL comtc@firenet.gov