038
FXUS64 KJAN 100818
AFDJAN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jackson MS
318 AM CDT Fri May 10 2024

...New DISCUSSION...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 315 AM CDT Fri May 10 2024

Today through Thursday night...The bulk of the storms are beginning
to move east of the area this morning, but showers will continue to
be possible through mid morning. Skies will begin to clear later
this morning into this afternoon, as surface high pressure builds
in with highs mainly in the low to mid 80s.

High pressure and dry conditions will prevail through most of the
weekend with highs around 80 degrees. Moisture will begin to
increase on Sunday, with increasing chances for storms mainly in the
south Sunday afternoon. A warm front will begin to push north over
the area Sunday night, with widespread showers/storms developing
over much of the area during the timeframe. Currently it looks like
the primary threat will be heavy rainfall with these storms, but
this will have to continue to be monitored. Expect the bulk of the
storms to move east of the area through the morning hours on Monday.
We will get a bit of a break Monday afternoon, but another short
wave/cold front will approach the area Monday evening, with another
round of storms Monday evening into the overnight hours. Showers
will continue to be possible into Tuesday as the main upper trough
moves across the area. High pressure and dry conditions return
briefly on Wednesday, but yet another series of short waves will
kick of more showers/storms Thursday and Thursday night.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 813 PM CDT Thu May 9 2024

Ongoing SHRA and TSRA across parts of the forecast area will
continue to pose the risk for severe wind gusts at the TAF sites,
with gusts over 65 kts possible with the strongest of storms
before 09Z. Patches of low stratus and variable visibility near
storms will also lead to the possibility of MVFR or lower
conditions. Winds should generally prevail out of the north with
improving conditions for sites after 12Z Friday. /NF/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       82  58  79  62 /  10   0   0   0
Meridian      85  55  81  60 /  30   0   0   0
Vicksburg     82  58  81  63 /   0   0   0   0
Hattiesburg   87  60  83  62 /  40   0   0   0
Natchez       83  59  81  62 /   0   0   0   0
Greenville    80  59  81  64 /   0   0   0   0
Greenwood     80  56  81  62 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...None.
LA...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

15/